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When will dried up Lake Delton have water again?

Current forecast: Lake is refilled by April 30, 2009 (19% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Lake is refilled by April 30, 2009 with a probability of 19% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Not much fun going to a lake that doesn't have water...Lake Delton, located in the Wisconsin Dells region had just too much rain for its own good. Torrential rains caused some of the berms surrounding the man-made lake to break, allowing ALL of the lake's water to flow out. Now there's a lake with no water, and summer tourists with no recreational facilities.

http://www.suntimes.com/news/metro/1066113,CST-NWS-dell21.article

So when will the repairs be made and the lake be able to fill back up again to previous levels.

There may not be a great hurry because it might not be possible to get it filled again for this season...they might just be looking ahead to next year...take that into consideration.
 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Lake is refilled by Labor Day
8%
Lake is refilled by October 31
13%
Lake is refilled by December 31
15%
Lake is refilled by February 28, 2009
15%
Lake is refilled by April 30, 2009
19%
Lake is refilled by Memorial Day, 2009
16%
Lake is NOT refilled by Memorial Day, 2009
14%
Activity: H$2,100
Question suspends in 37 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 23rd May 2009 4:59pm PDT (37 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Lake is refilled by Labor Day : 10%, Lake is refilled by October 31: 20%, Lake is refilled by December 31: 20%, Lake is refilled by February 28, 2009: 20%, Lake is refilled by April 30, 2009: 15%, Lake is refilled by Memorial Day, 2009: 10%, Lake is NOT refilled by Memorial Day, 2009 : 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 23rd Jul 4:38am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (19)

19 predictions

3 weeks ago
kasulked predicted Lake is NOT refilled by Memorial Day, 2009 (H$500 at 9%)
4 weeks ago
lahorikomal predicted Lake is refilled by October 31 (H$50 at 15%)
6 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Lake is refilled by February 28, 2009 (H$50 at 16%)
6 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Lake is refilled by February 28, 2009 (H$20 at 15%)
6 weeks ago
biloxibeachboy predicted Lake is refilled by April 30, 2009 (H$20 at 22%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Just to avoid potential confusion ... 'by' is defined as exclusive of the date in question, in the Hubdub rules, and options are mutually exclusive. So option 2 would mean from the time period 1 September until 30 October, Option 3 would mean from 31 October to 30 December etc.

For our non-Americans: Labor Day is 1 September, 2008; Memorial Day is May 25, 2009..
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks for the clarification...I had meant for the dates to be inclusive, but have no problem with it being exclusive...again, thanks for getting things straight beforehand!

Also thanks for the info on the dates of the holidays...
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 gregmatta
Target date summer 2009. http://www.channel3000.com/news/16936290/detail.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 bayoubear[Admin]
Good point Gregmatta....so, don't play too much on the earlier dates, but surely they'll want the lake filled in advance of the summer season...so the later dates are still very possible.
posted 6 weeks ago

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