Created Wed 23rd Jul 4:57am PDT by 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
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When will there be another 'tractor' attack in Israel?
Current forecast: No other attack before October 1, 2008 (70% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No other attack before October 1, 2008 with a probability of 70% (unchanged in last 1 day)
OK, now we've had two of them...a tractor, or large piece of construction machinery can cause quite a lot of damage pretty quickly, and now twice in the past month a Palestinian had taken control of one, caused damage, death, and injury, and been killed as a result.
Was the second attack just a copycat? Will there be another such attack in the near future?
http://www.skynews.co.nz/news/article.aspx?id=251874
The vehicle must be a piece of construction equipment (such as tractors, graders, bulldozers, etc)
Was the second attack just a copycat? Will there be another such attack in the near future?
http://www.skynews.co.nz/news/article.aspx?id=251874
The vehicle must be a piece of construction equipment (such as tractors, graders, bulldozers, etc)
Make your prediction!
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Next attack occurs in July |
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Next attack occurs in August |
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Next attack occurs in September |
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No other attack before October 1, 2008 |
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Activity: H$8,246
Question suspends in 4 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Next attack occurs in July: 20%, Next attack occurs in August: 30%, Next attack occurs in September: 20%, No other attack before October 1, 2008: 30%
Action history:
Created Wed 23rd Jul 4:57am PDT by bayoubear
bayoubear
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (39)
39 predictions
pepe
jaspersoddity
vadchen
anaverageamerican![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Next attack occurs in August (H$50 at 32%)
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score: 10
Australia/Israel & Jewish Affairs Council 3 days ago
allow the boats to enter, some background, and some commentary on the whole incident. Next up, the British Israel Communications and Research Centre put out a useful fact-sheet discussing the Gaza blockade, the amount of humanitarian aid and other
New in World » Middle East
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