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Will George W. Bush pardon Marion Jones?

Current forecast: 12% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

"Sent to jail by a judge who said he didn't believe she had owned up to her involvement in steroids and a check-cashing scheme, track star Marion Jones has now turned to a different kind of judge President Bush.
(...)
Jones, who was sentenced to six months in January, reported to the Federal Medical Center-Carswell near Fort Worth, Tex., in March. Since she has already served much of her sentence, her request is likely an attempt to clear her record of a felony conviction.
(...)
There has been speculation that Bush will grant preemptive pardons to officials involved in controversial counterterrorism programs as he decides who gets pardoned or not."

http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/more_sports/2008/07/19/2008-07-19_marion_jones_pardon_me_mr_president.html

"In an extraordinary letter, the chief executive of USA Track and Field has written to George W Bush asking him not to give Marion Jones early release from her prison sentence for lying about her steroid use.
(...)
To pardon one of the biggest frauds perpetuated on the Olympic movement would be nothing less than thumbing our collective noses at the world. I must right the ship that Ms Jones and other athletes nearly ran aground. I implore you, Mr President: please don't take the wind out of our sails."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2008/jul/22/athletics1

Jones was stripped of the five medals she won at the 2000 Olympics in Sydney.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
12%
No
88%
Activity: H$12,156
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 23rd Jul 5:34am PDT by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (108)

108 predictions

1 week ago
aland predicted No (H$20 at 89%)
1 week ago
parabola predicted No (H$100 at 89%)
1 week ago
robbr25 predicted No (H$20 at 88%)
1 week ago
cookietime predicted No (H$400 at 88%)
1 week ago
cookietime predicted No (H$250 at 88%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 cici
I am very conflicted by this. Is any one else in prison for steroid use or lying about it? I really don't know. I can't see a person like Marion Jones in prison. Somehow we have to come up with a different type of punishment than a prison. A year as a volunteer at Vista, something productive, not negative. The public doesn't need to be protected from her.
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 gregmatta
I think the check cashing scheme is what did her in.
posted 17 weeks ago
  3 cici
what was the check cashing scheme?? Do I sound dumb or what.
posted 17 weeks ago
well cici, even if it was only for the steroid thing its still lying while under oath. perjury means jail time, period.
posted 17 weeks ago
There are two reasons why people should be put in jail, 1: For the community to be protected from the individual. You may be right about saying that she didn't need to be put in for that reason. Reason number 2: Is so that they can be punished for there crimes and deter them from doing it again. Heres a couple of examples of each. In the movie hancock, he was put in for reason number 1. She is a good example of reason number 2.
posted 15 weeks ago
  6 dieseldog
ironman has it right. it wasn't so much the crime..it was lying about it. she can lie to the press all she wants. clinton would still be denying the monica deal if he wasn't hauled before a grandjury. if he woulda lied to the granjury he woulda been impeached. robert byrd took the senate floor and warned clinton..DO NOT LIE TO THE GRAND JURY!
posted 15 weeks ago
  7 Erik
pssst – dieseldog, Clinton was indeed impeached for lying to a grand jury, as well as obstruction of justice.
http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/resources/1998/lewinsky/articles.of.impeachment/
posted 15 weeks ago
  8 dieseldog
@erik...i shoulda said been found guilty. yes he was impeached.
posted 15 weeks ago
did marion donate money to the republicans?
if so likelihood of a pardon is much much greater
posted 1 week ago

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