guibraguim 
Will "The Dark Knight" beat any of these records in the following 2 weekends?
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
Background:
1 - Best opening weekend ever($155.3 million)
2 - Best debut in IMAX cinemas($6.2 million)
3 - One-day box office record($66.4 million)
4 - Midnight screenings($18.5 million)
5 - Biggest number of screenings(4.333)
6 - Biggest 4th day opening
... and many others!
But, here is the real deal:
Will Batman beat any of these major records in the following 2 weekends?
1 - Yearly 2008(currenty held by Iron Man with $314,376,988)
2 - All Time US Top 20(currently held by Titanic with $600,788,188. Position number 20 is for Harry Potter and the Sorceres's Stone: $317,557,891)
3 - Top 10-Day Grosses(currently held by Pirates of The Caribbean with $258,364,766)
4 - Worldwide Yearly 2008(currently held by Indiana Jones with $742.7 worldwide)
The question will settle with info either from http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/records/#weekend and/or http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=darkknight.htm.
Settlement details:
As reported by http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/records/#weekend and/or http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=darkknight.htm. Suspend date is July 31st, before the third weekend.
Settled
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Yearly 2008 |
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All Time US Top 20 |
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Top 10-Day Grosses |
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Worlwide Yearly 2008 |
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A combination of 2 listed above |
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A combination of 3 listed above |
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All of the above |
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No records broken |
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Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 5pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 4th Aug 3:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 1st Aug 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yearly 2008: 15%, All Time US Top 20: 15%, Top 10-Day Grosses: 35%, Worlwide Yearly 2008: 15%, A combination of 2 listed above: 10%, A combination of 3 listed above: 5%, All of the above: 4%, No records broken: 1%
Action history:
guibraguim 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: checking market for possible clarification tisha: market ok 
destry: Flagged by super user: Question suspended until Category Editor can review lastest comments as they relate to the market. tisha: market clarified 
jenniandboys: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 5pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 4th Aug 3:55pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 1st Aug 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (104)
104 predictions
brjschmidt
thomismydad![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted A combination of 3 listed above (H$2,000 at 85%)
amice
steez
kiwifire
jhouseholder
jamalpeter
drdavinComments (8)
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guibraguim
23 settled, 3 voided
gay!
So we will have to interpret this market to mean whether Dark Knight will enter the US top 20 list at all, rather than beat Titanic as number 1 on this list. Ie - to satisfy breaking Record No. 2 on the list, Dark Knight only has to feature on the US Top 20 list, not be the top of it.
Sorry for the confusion
BTW I just pushed back the suspend date one day. Box office questions should suspend at 5pm PDT on Friday night to allow max betting before the estimates start coming in over the weekend.
And thank you jenni!
1 - Yearly 2008(now held by The Dark Knight with $394,887,000 and counting) - OK
2 - All Time US Top 20(ENTERED - current position: 8) - OK
3 - Top 10-Day Grosses(now held by The Dark Knight with $313,781,677) - OK
4 - Worldwide Yearly 2008(currently held by Indiana Jones with $744.4 worldwide, The Dark Knight position number 3) - Not broken
If The Dark Knight doesn't reach $744.5 worldwide today, the question will settle as "A combination of 3 listed above"
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