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Will either of the major presidential candidates fall in public prior to election day?

Settled as No

Every so often, a public figure takes an embarrassing spill in public. It might be caused by tripping over something, a chair falling off a platform, losing their footing while walking down an aircraft boarding ramp, or any number of things.


Settlement details: To qualify, the event must reported by a major mainstream news source and the candidate must completely leave his feet. If he catches himself and regains his footing, it does not count as a fall.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
11%
No
89%
Activity: H$33,453
Settled as No on Tue 4th Nov 10:56am PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Wed 23rd Jul 5:07pm PDT by owlcreekobserver
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 10:22am PST by newswrangler[Power User]: .
Winning prediction = "No"

Neither candidate fell in public before November 4th.
Settled as 'No' Tue 4th Nov 10:56am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 10:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (49)

49 predictions

12 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$1,340 at 26%)
12 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted Yes (H$20 at 23%)

Comments (9)

heehee
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 dieseldog
why 3 years on the suspend time?
posted 17 weeks ago
  3 randburg
Let's see: election day is a little more than three months off, AND they have another two years and nine months to complete the fall...Puts a whole new twist on slow motion...

posted 17 weeks ago
  4 tisha[Admin]
Ok guys - suspend date has been changed to 2008 rather than 2011.

The real question is - if they fall, will they get up and start clapping themselves, like the Miss Universe contestant??
posted 17 weeks ago
  5 kruijs[Power User]
Falling on a private bbq with neighbors (eg over the bike of a kid) doesn't count, or?
although it would be funny, hehe.
posted 17 weeks ago
Tisha and all: Sorry that I "tripped up" while entering the suspend date.
posted 17 weeks ago
  7 hubdubber
I voted yes because McCain is just old and he might fall and can't get up and because Obama is always on his blueberry texting and reading emails, and he almost tripped once already.

*crossing fingers*
posted 16 weeks ago
  8 destry[Admin]
@hubdubber - is a blueberry a more tasty blackberry? I have tried to nibble on my blackberry and it never did taste good.
posted 16 weeks ago
  9 randburg
...sounds like a raspberry to me...
posted 14 weeks ago

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