Created Fri 25th Jul 2008 5:41pm PST by

onedave [Power User]

How many more major US cities ban plastic bags from stores before July 25, 2009?

Settled as Zero or one

Although many US cities are considering banning plastic bags, no city with a population of >100,000 has yet voted in the change.

Background:

Background: On July 23, 2008, Los Angeles became the second US city to ban the use of plastic bags. The resolution will take effect in 2010 unless the state of California passes a similar law first. Both laws would charge consumers 25 cents for paper or biodegradable bags.

San Francisco enacted a similar ban in November 2007. Baltimore recently rejected a ban. Seattle and Portland are also considering bans.

A major city will be defined as a city or a county with at least 100,000 residents. Only cities that actually ban plastic bags will count towards this market. San Francisco and Los Angeles will not be counted towards this market.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/jul/24/plasticbags.waste
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2008067313_bagfee23m.html
http://www.oregonlive.com/environment/index.ssf/2008/07/portland_ban_plastic_bags.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Zero or one

91%

Two

Three

Four or more

Settled as Zero or one on Sun 26th Jul 3:22am PST

Activity: H$27,165
Predictions: 69
Comments: 12

Suspend date: Fri 24th Jul 8pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 26th Jul 3:22am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 24th Jul 8pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zero or one: 20%, Two: 40%, Three: 25%, Four or more: 15%

Action history:

Created Fri 25th Jul 2008 5:41pm PST by

onedave [Power User]

Suspended Mon 1st Sep 2008 12:32pm PST by

tisha

: checking settlement info

Unsuspended Mon 1st Sep 2008 12:35pm PST by

tisha

Suspended Fri 24th Jul 8pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Zero or one' Sun 26th Jul 3:22am PST by

tisha

: Although many US cities are considering banning plastic bags, no city with a population of >100,000 has yet voted in the change.

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Predictions (69)

17 weeks ago

mayank Level 7, Pro (H$3,771)

predicted Zero or one (H$58 at 91%)

17 weeks ago

pixelpaws Level 13, Psychic (H$66,863)

predicted Zero or one (H$1,000 at 90%)

17 weeks ago

charlesf Level 15, Seer (H$299,402)

predicted Two (H$100 at 3%)

17 weeks ago

charlesf Level 15, Seer (H$299,402)

predicted Three (H$100 at 2%)

17 weeks ago

charlesf Level 15, Seer (H$299,402)

predicted Four or more (H$100 at 2%)

Comments (12)

bayoubear [Admin]

Does the ban actually have to take place by the suspension date, or simply a decision to enact a ban at a future date, such as the case of L. A. They've decided to enact a ban, but it won't affect until after the suspension date. Just a point of clarification for the distant future of settlement.

Good question, well done!

posted 1 year ago

notablenotices [Power User]

I wish they would ban plastic money!

posted 1 year ago

onedave [Power User]

The ban would not need to take effect, only be passed into law.

Also, charging for plastic bags does not constitue a ban.

posted 1 year ago

anaverageamerican Level 13, Psychic (H$72,956)

More nanny state lunacy. The whole plastic bag killing marine life issue is the result of an error in a research paper that was citing another research paper about the effects of lost commercial fishing nets on marine life. Land of the free ... was true once upon a time. But they're doing it for our own good!

posted 1 year ago

robamichael Level 13, Psychic (H$82,502)

this is ridiculous. it costs more energy to make a plastic bag than a paper bag.

we should be letting the market find a way to fix this problem. If people care enough then theres room in the market make money UNLESS we make laws that dictate how business is run.

amazing how people can go their whole lives believing regulation is the answer

posted 1 year ago

onedave [Power User]

San Diego and San Antonio are considering bans.
http://www.washtimes.com/news/2008/aug/18/tempest-in-a-tote/

posted 1 year ago

onedave [Power User]

Maui County, Hawaii, recently banned plastic bags. http://www.bizjournals.com/pacific/stories/2008/08/18/daily62.html I am flagging this market to see if counties will count.

posted 1 year ago

newswrangler [Power User]

@ onedave -- to my read, this question asks, "...before July 25, 2009?"

The information I read in your link states, "...the Maui County Council on Friday passed Hawaii's first municipal ban on plastic shopping bags. The law takes effect in January 2011..."

posted 1 year ago

onedave [Power User]

@newswrangler - We discussed in comment 3 that a ban would have to be passed into law before July 25, 2009.

posted 1 year ago

newswrangler [Power User]

@ onedave -- yeah, I know. I didn't know if you were asking, as referenced in comment #7, if Maui County would "count", or not. Apparently you weren't. ;-)

posted 1 year ago

tisha

OFFICIAL CLARIFICATION - counties with a population of more than 100,000 will also count for purposes of settlement. Let me know if you have a problem with this.

posted 1 year ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,666,540)

This is going to be a nightmare to settle. I just googled it and there's dozens of cities that have proposed a ban, but very few that actually passed one.

posted 32 weeks ago

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