biloxibeachboy
How long will it take Russian snipers to remove bears from mining compound area?
Problem resolved before Aug 1. http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/08/01/Four_bears_shot_in_Kamchatka/UPI-91251217631729/
Background:
At least 30 of the hungry animals have been seen prowling close to the mines in northern Kamchatka in search of food, where the mangled remains of the two workers, both guards, were found last week.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4387144.ece
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Before Aug 1, 2008 |
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| Between Aug 1, 2008 and Aug 7, 2008 |
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| Between Aug 8 and Aug 15, 2008 |
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| After Aug 15, 2008 |
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- Activity: H$50,313 |
- Predictions: 42 |
Comments: 9
Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 9:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 2008 9:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Before Aug 1, 2008: 20%, Between Aug 1, 2008 and Aug 7, 2008: 20%, Between Aug 8 and Aug 15, 2008: 30%, After Aug 15, 2008: 30%
Action history:
biloxibeachboy 
randburg
: "It looks like the situation was cleared up by Aug 1."
If results were actually accomplished BY August 1st, results could have been known from that date, and all bets after that date will be automatically voided, AS USUAL on hubdub
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Problem resolved before Aug 1. http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/08/01/Four_bears_shot_in_Kamchatka/UPI-91251217631729/ 
Suspend date: Fri 15th Aug 2008 9:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 2008 9:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (42)
rbrog77
predicted After Aug 15, 2008 (H$8,028 at 98%)
mmarshall
predicted After Aug 15, 2008 (H$100 at 97%)
bigken1
pepe
predicted After Aug 15, 2008 (H$20 at 84%)Comments (9)
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just curious, do you anticipate an "all-bear-clear" announcement of some kind? I'm just thinking of the remoteness of the area, how many stacked bear bodies would these miners need to see to feel confident again, and will it be announced? Fascinating question though!
The article makes clear that getting rid of the dumps got rid of the bears except the 4 that had to be shot.
If results were actually accomplished August 1st, results could have been known from that date, and all bets after that date will be automatically voided, AS USUAL on hubdub.
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