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How many badminton gold medals will China win in the 2008 Olympic Games?

Settled as three

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/BD/C95/BD0000000.shtml

Background:

China has won eight Olympic badminton gold medals since 1996. Below is their all-time gold medal count:

1996: 1
2000: 4
2004: 3

There will be five badminton events in 2008.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Badminton_at_the_2008_Summer_Olympics
http://www.nbcolympics.com/badminton/index.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Less than two
7%
two
17%
three
29%
Four or more
47%
Activity: H$5,643
Settled as three on Mon 18th Aug 9:17am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 14th Aug 5pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 9:17am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 14th Aug 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than two: 12%, two: 28%, three: 35%, Four or more: 25%

Action history:

Created Sun 27th Jul 1:41pm PDT by onedave[Power User]
Suspended Fri 8th Aug 9am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Fri 8th Aug 8:32pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: reopened
Suspended Thu 14th Aug 5pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 17th Aug 3:58pm PDT by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as '3.' http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/BD/C95/BD0000000.shtml
Settled as 'three' Mon 18th Aug 9:17am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/BD/C95/BD0000000.shtml

Suspend date: Thu 14th Aug 5pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 9:17am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 14th Aug 5pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (17)

17 predictions

15 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted three (H$300 at 27%)
15 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Four or more (H$1,500 at 41%)
15 weeks ago
btran predicted three (H$100 at 32%)
15 weeks ago
legojedi predicted three (H$20 at 31%)
16 weeks ago
legojedi predicted two (H$20 at 26%)
more

Comments (1)

market reopened. it will suspend prior to the gold medal matches
posted 16 weeks ago

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