Created Tue 29th Jul 6:28am PDT by
charlie_dowden
All questions » Technology » Consumer Electronics » 
What will Apple's next major hardware release be?
Current forecast: New Macbook, Macbook Pro or Macbook Air (36% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is New Macbook, Macbook Pro or Macbook Air with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)
This year has seen the release of the Macbook Air, iPhone 3G and Apple TV 'Take Two', and we're only half way through the year. Websites such as Apple Insider (http://www.appleinsider.com/) have reported that new Macbook's will be shipped before the end of the year, while a new range of iPod's would be released in September if Apple continued the trend of the last two years. There's lots of rumours about a secret product which could be a new version of the Newton; there's even been rumours of a touch screen Macbook. Or perhaps Apple are going into a new market altogether.
This question asks what the next major hardware release will be this year. Only design changes or new inventions count, not internal changes such as hard drive size.
This question asks what the next major hardware release will be this year. Only design changes or new inventions count, not internal changes such as hard drive size.
Make your prediction!
|
|
New iPod Shuffle or Nano |
|
|||
|
|
New iPod Classic or Touch |
|
|||
|
|
Whole new range of iPods |
|
|||
|
|
New Mac or Mac Pro |
|
|||
|
|
New Macbook, Macbook Pro or Macbook Air |
|
|||
|
|
New iPhone |
|
|||
|
|
Newton/Tablet |
|
|||
|
|
New Mac Displays |
|
|||
|
|
New Apple TV |
|
|||
|
|
Something Else/No new releases before end of 2008 |
|
Activity: H$11,711
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by www.apple.com.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 6:59am PST (17 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
New iPod Shuffle or Nano: 10%, New iPod Classic or Touch: 10%, Whole new range of iPods: 9%, New Mac or Mac Pro: 10%, New Macbook, Macbook Pro or Macbook Air: 20%, New iPhone: 1%, Newton/Tablet: 20%, New Mac Displays: 5%, New Apple TV: 5%, Something Else/No new releases before end of 2008: 10%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Jul 6:28am PDT by
charlie_dowden
Clarified Tue 29th Jul 10:02am PDT by
nigeleccles
: If Apple release two or more products at the same event we will settle this as the first product announced.
Clarified Tue 12th Aug 9:47am PDT by
tomg
: Clarification from question creator on the point of whether this question settles for LED backlit display on MacBook:
"If it was a new Macbook and not just an upgrade to the current one then yes it would count."
Otherwise no.
"If it was a new Macbook and not just an upgrade to the current one then yes it would count."
Otherwise no.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by www.apple.com. ... read all
Predictions (97)
97 predictions
Comments (11)
New to Hubdub?
Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Apple Insider 1 day ago
By Aidan Malley Digg creator Kevin Rose says he knows many details of Apple's iPod revisions for September, including what appears to be a photo of the fourth-generation iPod nano and a teaser for information of iTunes 8.0. A nighttime blog post by Rose
score: 10
ITWire 2 days ago
tight at the top of the blog entry was a typically grainy photo of what could the new iPod Nano 'Zune' as it has been christened by the media? Amongst the things that Rose suggested were on the Apple list for an imminent launch was a revamp of the
score: 10
Macworld UK 2 days ago
generated a swell of rumour this weekend, predicting Apple's plans for a special iPod-related . Later reports speculate Apple will host a , where the company will present a complete new range of iPods, a new version of iTunes and (potentially) a point
score: 10
The Register 2 days ago
certain to be unveiled shortly, and quite likely new laptops Macs too. First, it's important to note that Apple usually announces iPod refreshes late August/early September, so changes to the line should come as no surprise to anyone. Digg.com's Kevin
score: 10
ElectricPig 3 days ago
Is this the new iPod nano? Kevin Rose, founder of Digg.com seems to think so, and it tallies with rumours of Apple squeezing in a longer screen too. According to Rose, the whole iPod line






http://theappleblog.com/2008/07/29/new-macbook-rumors/
"If it was a new Macbook and not just an upgrade to the current one then yes it would count."
Otherwise no.
"What will the product transition Apple announced in July turn out to be?"
That is what most of the buzz and speculation is about. But the current question doesn't give people a way to bet on it, because its winner will be the new product that is announced first at the next Mac conference. There might well be three major hardware releases announced, with the important one saved for last.
Be sure to explain what you mean about "product transition", and consider multiple outcomes when creating your question ;-)
What will the "product transition" Apple announced in July turn out to be?
A specialized chip in one or more Macs that encodes & decodes video feeds. (One major Wall St. analyst has endorsed this theory. I'd give this a 8% chance as a start.)
A specialized chip in one or more Macs that performs some other function, such as encryption, malware protection, or software metering. (I wish these improvements were in the offing, but no one important has endorsed them. I'd give this a 3% chance.)
LEDs to provide backlighting in one or more Macs. (One major Wall St. analyst has endorsed this theory. I'd give this a 8% chance as a start.)
Bundled third-party software (e.g., virtualization software or Windows) in one or more Macs. (This is another wish of mine. Columnist Dvorak suggested a year ago that Windows and OS X were moving toward a merger, so it's not out of the question. I'd give this a 3% chance as a start.)
Something other than the above in one or more Macs. (20%)
Something other than the above for the iPod line. (20%, in line with bets on the existing question above.)
Something other than the above for the iPhone. (3%, in line with bets on the existing question above.)
Something not covered above. (35%)
As for the problem of an innovation that overlaps product lines, such as LEDs in the screens of both Macs and iPods, for instance, or something that I can't anticipate, that's unlikely to happen. If it does, I'd suggest splitting the winnings between bettors on both possibilities, or voiding the question. By its nature, this is a question that is virtually impossible to formulate in a watertight way ahead of time. But that shouldn't forestall the question, IMO.
Please log in or join to post a comment.