Created Tue 29th Jul 10:03am PDT by 
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
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Will Republican Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska run for re-election in 2008?
Voided
Market specification in regards to yes and no settlements were confusing but have now been fixed in a new market posted here: http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008
Background:
The senator is up for re-election this year.
However, the Justice Department has indicted him on charges related to a long-running investigation of his business dealings in Alaska.
Latest news:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25916299/
Picture courtesy MSNBC.com
However, the Justice Department has indicted him on charges related to a long-running investigation of his business dealings in Alaska.
Latest news:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25916299/
Picture courtesy MSNBC.com
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Jul 10:03am PDT by cognos
cognos
Suspended Tue 29th Jul 11:48am PDT by 
newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
A new version of this question will be reposted shortly.
newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
A new version of this question will be reposted shortly.
Suspended Tue 29th Jul 12:29pm PDT by newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
A revised version of this question can be found here:
<http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008>
newswrangler: Flagged by super user:
A revised version of this question can be found here:
<http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008>
Voided Tue 29th Jul 1:01pm PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Market specification in regards to yes and no settlements were confusing but have now been fixed in a new market posted here: http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008
ryanj: Market specification in regards to yes and no settlements were confusing but have now been fixed in a new market posted here: http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008
Suspend date: Wed 1st Oct 12:59am PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (8)
8 predictions
coolkraft
destry
jenniandboysComments (7)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Berkeley Daily Planet 18 weeks ago
on in Oakland, one has to take into account two events. The first is the possible pending federal indictment of State Senator Don Perata. The second is the upcoming 2010 Oakland mayoral election. These two elements certainly donā??t fully explain
score: 10
People's Daily Online 18 weeks ago
Management Ltd. was charged with six felony counts of making false statements and obstructing justice. Prosecutors announced the indictment on Wednesday. Unidentified 'senior ship officers and shore-based supervisory officials concealed and covered up
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 18 weeks ago
Extract not available.
score: 10
Consortium News 18 weeks ago
Democratic leaders who have been discussing whether to hold Rove in contempt for refusing to comply with a congressional subpoena that demanded that he testify under oath at a hearing two weeks ago. The Judiciary Committee has been seeking Roves public
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 19 weeks ago
Extract not available.
Related tags
New in Politics » US Politics
I'm flagging the Category Editor to see if the Suspend Date ought be changed...
My intent for this market
'Yes' - indictment does not cause Stevens to pull-out.
'No' - the indictment causes him to step aside, making room for another Republican.
To settle as 'Yes', he must step-aside on his own, or be forced to do so by his caucus.
What do others think?
That said, Stevens is currently "running for re-election"...
What if Stevens decides to wait-it-out for less than a month, and see how the primary turns out?
In that scenario, if he loses the primary, he wouldn't be "stepping aside on his own", nor would he (any longer) be "running for re-election".
One suggestion: have the question be something like, "Will Stevens announce he won't run for re-election before the primary?" If he doesn't announce, and wins next month, then there can be another question...
Just a thought ...
Well, I certainly flubbed up this market.
I'm going request a void. Once done, I'll resubmit using better terms.
Thanks for your thoughts!
Writing to "predict the news" is an entirely different process than "reporting the news" ;-)
http://www.hubdub.com/m12326/Will_Republican_Senator_Ted_Stevens_of_Alaska_step_down_in_2008
Sorry to all who wagered on this (soon to be) voided market.
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