nigeleccles
Are Mahalo and Squidoo roadkill?
Squidoo's visitor numbers were higher in September than in June, so the condition for settling as Yes was not met, therefore settled as No. http://siteanalytics.compete.com/mahalo.com+squidoo.com/?metric=uv
Background:
Do no evil?
Jason Calacanis argues in an exceptionally well thought out article (republished on Silicon Alley Insider) that Google is now crossing the line and competing with its content partners (i.e. Google now is a content company). He draws the analogy between how Google is leveraging its dominance in search to how Microsoft transferring its dominance from the operating system to the application layer (and thus eliminating many of its former partners).
The Google truck takes aim
It seems unlikely that Knol will have any impact on Wikipedia in the short term however there could be other casualties. Bernard Lunn at ReadWriteWeb states:
The companies that are most at threat are those like Mahalo and Squidoo, i.e. semi-automated aggregation plays. These appealed to VCs because they are more scalable than pure-play content. This market appeals to Google for the same reason. Mahalo, Squidoo and others are in the way and the steamroller is coming. They had better be really agile to get out of the way. They look like roadkill to me.
Mahalo and Squidoo rely heavily on Google traffic and commentators have already noted that Knol results are appearing high in Google's search results. Are Mahalo and Squidoo two furry squirrels staring down the on-coming Google Monster truck?
Settlement details:This question will be settled as Yes if Mahalo and Squidoo's people count figures on Compete (http://siteanalytics.compete.com/mahalo.com+squidoo.com/?metric=uv) are BOTH lower in September than they are in June.
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
- Activity: H$27,516 |
- Predictions: 77 |
Comments: 7
Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 12th Oct 2008 12:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 5th Oct 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
notablenotices![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: Should be settled as "No"
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/mahalo.com+squidoo.com/?metric=uv
shows that squidoo.com numbers are higher in September than in June.
tomg![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Squidoo's visitor numbers were higher in September than in June, so the condition for settling as Yes was not met, therefore settled as No. http://siteanalytics.compete.com/mahalo.com+squidoo.com/?metric=uv 
Suspend date: Sun 5th Oct 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 12th Oct 2008 12:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 5th Oct 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (77)
janalyst
predicted No (H$1,000 at 88%)
predicted No (H$100 at 83%)
predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
xxxjetxxx
predicted No (H$462 at 82%)Comments (7)
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You mean http://knol.google.com
http://knol.google.com/k#
On a happier note, Knol's steam cleaning equipment sales are expected to be way up this month! :)
NOTE: We sell steamcleaning equipment and don't sell our domain !!
(http://www.knol.com/nieuws/knol-in-de-media/google-werkt-aan-knol.html)
Go Knol!!!
nigel, shall I translate?
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