Created Tue 29th Jul 2:48pm PDT by 
professionaleccentric
All questions » Politics » Presidential » professionaleccentric 
What will be the first last name to be shared by three different U.S. Presidents?
Current forecast: Johnson (24% chance
2%)
2%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Johnson with a probability of 24% (down 2% in last 1 day)
Five different last names have each been shared by TWO U.S. Presidents, but none have reached the THREE plateau yet.
Make your prediction!
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Adams |
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Bush |
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Harrison |
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Johnson |
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Roosevelt |
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Wallechinsky |
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any other name |
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Activity: H$519
Question suspends in 8 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 4:05am PST (8 years to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Adams: 15%, Bush: 24%, Harrison: 15%, Johnson: 20%, Roosevelt: 20%, Wallechinsky: 1%, any other name: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Jul 2:48pm PDT by professionaleccentric
professionaleccentric
Clarified Fri 1st Aug 7:54am PDT by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show detailsThis is truly a long term market. While participation will probably be non-existent I will allow to run. And as this market is an event based market as opposed to time frame market, the suspend date is fluid. It will keep getting pushed until the event occurs. Make sure to have your will's made ou, someone you love might inherit this one.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (6)
6 predictions
anaverageamerican![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Bush (H$20 at 23%)
valornhonor
jenniandboysComments (4)
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