Created Tue 29th Jul 8:49pm PDT by
valornhonor
All questions » Sport » MLB » 
How many of these obscure things will happen during the games of the 2008 MLB World Series?
Current forecast: Two to five of these things happen during WS (50% chance
13%)
13%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Two to five of these things happen during WS with a probability of 50% (up 13% in last 1 day)
Please see comments for the list of 20 obscure, but possible baseball events. They are all very rare, and very newsworthy when they occur. For purposes of settlement market is looking to count How Many of these listed things will occur during the entire World Series Championship. If the same odd thing happens twice, it only will tally as once on the checklist. Market is not asking for the total number of occurences, rather, how many of these things will happen?
Suspend date is last day of regular season.
Suspend date is last day of regular season.
Make your prediction!
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None of these things happen during World Series. |
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One of these things happens during World Series |
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Two to five of these things happen during WS |
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Six or more of these things happen during WS |
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Activity: H$21,400
Question suspends in 1 week
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 22nd Oct 12:59am PDT (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods:
None of these things happen during World Series.: 55%, One of these things happens during World Series : 25%, Two to five of these things happen during WS: 15%, Six or more of these things happen during WS: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 29th Jul 8:49pm PDT by
valornhonor
Suspended Mon 29th Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Tue 30th Sep 5:49pm PDT by
mrperfkt
: was: "2008-09-28 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Tue 30th Sep 5:50pm PDT by
mrperfkt
: show details
Question was unsuspended to allow it to remain open up until the start of the World Series.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (75)
75 predictions
6 weeks ago
Comments (17)
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Pitching:
1. A wild pitch is thrown, advancing the batter.
2. Pitcher called for a balk.
3. Pitcher catches a hit ball in the air, not from a bounce.
4. Pitcher personally tags out a base runner.
Hitting:
1. Any player hits for the cycle in a single game; single, double, triple and a homerun.
2. Any player hits a grand slam.
3. Inside the park home run.
4. Triple, without an error.
5. Any batter advance to first base NOT as a result of a hit, or Base on Balls.
6. Both the left AND right field pole markers hit with a ball in the air, during the same game.
7. Hit ball bounces out of the field for a double.
8. Hit ball collides with a base runner before being touched by the fielding team.
Running:
1. Any player steals home.
2. One player steals more than one base in one inning.
3. “Pete Rose” style, face-first slide into a base, and safe.
4. Player collides with catcher, knocking ball loose and ruled, “Safe at home.”
Fielding
1. Any player (other than pitcher), makes a bare handed catch of a ball hit in the air.
2. Any player (other than pitcher), makes an unassisted triple play.
3. An outfielder, (left, center or right fielders only), throws out a runner at home plate, unassisted.
4. Fan reaches out over a wall into the field of play and “robs” any defensive player of chance to catch a ball and make an out.
After reading the background, it appears that the words "all games" should be removed from the question.
Is this a fly ball? Does an infield chopper count...catching the ball while in the air as opposed to picking up a "roller" ?
My intent is that a pitched ball collide with the bat, and then the next thing the ball touches is a defensive player's bare hand, for a catch.
Looking for how many of these different things occur within the entire span of the whole World Series. Once any of these happen in any of the games, it would not be necessary to keep tracking it, that one thing will have then been checked off.
For example, if in the 1st, 3rd and 5th games there is a balk by a pitcher, in the 2nd and 4th games there is a Grand Slam and in a 6th game there a hit ball hits the left field foul pole and then later in the same game the opposite, right field foul pole, this would be a total of just 3 qualifying events. If this is still unclear, please let me know.
As for reporting, I think any of these weird things will make highlight reels for ESPN, normal evening news reports, www.mlb.com or other major news reports. I picked deliberately picked obscure things for this very reason.
Just wanted to mention this so future bettors can level out the odds. Good question and thanks for taking the time to write and post it.
1). Walk
2). Base hit
3). Hit by pitch
4). Error
5). Catcher's interference
6). Dropped third strike
7). Fielder's choice
The eighth way to get on first is to be a pinch runner. A really super-fun book to read about baseball and its obscure rules is "The Knotty Problems of Baseball".
You are so right! I forgot that one thanks so much. There are a lot of arcane nuances to baseball beyond what most kids enjoy as stickball in a field or in the street.
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