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Will Casey Anthony be charged with the murder of her two-year-old daughter, Caylee Marie?

Current forecast: 77% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 77% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

This is similar to two other questions about this precious little two-year-old girl, "How will Caylee Anthony be found?" and "Will it be discovered that Casey Anthony sold her child Caylee Marie Anthony for drugs?"

As the story of this toddler's month-long disappearance spins out of control, his market makes a tragic leap and asks if Caylee's mother, Marie Anthony, is responsible for her death. To date, no reports have mentioned that Caylee is dead, nor that her mother is responsible.


This market will settle as "Yes" if/when Marie Anthony is indicted for murder (in any degree). It will settle as "No" if Caylee is found alive, or if her mother is not indicted for any murder charge within 30 days, should Caylee be found dead.

More background can be found here and here
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
77%
No
23%
Activity: H$26,980
Question suspends in 50 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 28th Aug 2009 4:59pm PDT (50 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jul 1:41am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]
Settlement requested Sun 3rd Aug 11:52pm PDT by curios: PLEASE SETTLE A BEUTIFUL END ALL ROUND
Abduction Suspect Clark Rockefeller in Custody; Daughter Safe
Saturday, August 02, 2008
Suspended Mon 4th Aug 6:53am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Checking settlement
Unsuspended Mon 4th Aug 7:07pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Unfortunately the set. request that sent in is referring to another kidnapped girl, but not Caylee Marie who is still missing as of the last reports I read which was made 4 hours ago. Here's a link to it. Hopefully in the future though we can settle these markets with a positive conclusion.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (84)

84 predictions

1 day ago
nannersfromsavannah predicted Yes (H$100 at 77%)
2 days ago
ally1219 predicted Yes (H$50 at 77%)
3 days ago
constable1664 predicted Yes (H$500 at 77%)
4 days ago
snobnobn predicted Yes (H$500 at 76%)
4 days ago
nasi predicted Yes (H$100 at 75%)
more

Comments (8)

  2 mrperfkt[Admin]
@coolkraft - She looks totally distraught in those pictures. How sad!
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
@mr perfkt...the latest comment above shows an entirely different story...that is what i meant by sad...the mother out partying when daughter is supposedly missing
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 mrperfkt[Admin]
@coolkraft - sorry, guess my sarcasm didn't come across through here. I saw the pictures in the link that you posted and was responding to the fact that she was out partying, shortly after reporting the daughter missing. It truly is sad. You'd think that if she were that concerned that she'd be out trying to find the girl instead of hitting the clubs.
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 coolkraft
@mrperfkt...sorry did not get your sarcasm (usually do...but...)congratulations on your marriage...this woman is one sick puppy as far as I am concerned and I feel that adorable child is not alive
posted 5 weeks ago
This question has been reopened.

Was suspended for an incorrect settlement request.
posted 4 weeks ago
  7 jbolli
She's stolen repeatedly from her parents, likes to party, is flat broke, and claims over and over she's certain her daughter is safe...

My guess is she sold her daughter on Craigslist.
posted 3 weeks ago
  8 mannie
I do not know wether to say she is innocent or guilty yet. No one will know until casey either tells the truth or the people that have her return her home safely. If caylee was my child I would be out looking for her and cooperate with the police. We really can't say that she is guilty because we do not know if she has done anything yet. If she did kill her daughter I wish she would just come clean about it. If she did not do anything then I wish that she would cooperate with the police and prove her innocence so that caylee can come home.
posted 2 weeks ago

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