Where will the DJIA go on Friday, 1st August?

Economic Calendar for Friday, 1st August

Events (US)
Jul Nonfarm Payrolls: Expected: -60K. Previous: -62K.
Jul Unemployment Rate: Expected: 5.5%. Previous: 5.5%.
Jul ISM Manufacturing Business Index: Expected: 49.0. Previous: 50.2.
Jun Construction Spending: Expected: -0.3%. Previous: -0.4%.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-uscal.html


Events (Intl)
JPN: Jul Auto sales (on year) Previous: -3.6%
JPN: Jun Steel Imports & Exports Statistics On Year Previous: +0.5%
GER: Jun Retail Sales Monthly Expected: -0.5% Previous: +0.5%
GER: Jun Retail Sales Yearly Expected: -0.9% Previous: +0.2%
ITA: Jul PMI Manufacturing Expected: 46.2 Previous: 49.6
FRA: Jul PMI Manufacturing Expected: 47.3 Previous: 49.2
GER: Jul PMI Manufacturing Expected: 50.9 Previous: 52.6
EU: Jul Euro-Zone PMI Manufacturing Expected: 47.5 Previous: 49.2
UK: Jul CIPS PMI Mfg
UK: 2Q Insolvency statistics
FRA: Jun OECD CPI
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-intlcal.html

Bond offerings
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
Kentucky Turnpike Authority, 200, Goldman Sachs & Co
New Jersey Hlth Care Facs Fin Au, 237, Citi
North Harris Co Regional Water Au, 200, First Southwest Company
San Diego Co-California, 350, Citi
St Louis Park City-Minnesota, 221, Morgan Stanley
Texas St Univ Sys Bd of Regents, 217, Lehman Brothers
Virginia Resources Authority, 179, Morgan Stanley
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-bondoffer.html

IPO & Stock Offerings
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
(none)
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-newoffer.html

Splits
(none)
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/marketsummary/calendars/stockspecificsplits.asp

Earnings
Confirmed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
(none)
Proposed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
us:WPGHF.PK, Wpg Hldgs Co Ltd, Q2 2008
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/calendars/earningsdaily.asp

See also
Conference Calls / Earning http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/markets_calendar.html
Reports on Economic Indicators http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-indicators/

Three reasons why I like this format, as a replacement to the "Where will the DOW Close?" market type.

1) Market can be copied for the next day, without the need to adjust the predictions.
2) Number of prediction possibilities does not need to be adjusted, based on the previous days close.
3) Percentage of change scales better, regardless of the DOW's current value.

Comments, questions, please.

I concur.

If no one else does, here you go:

4) It asks for what is actually reported in news magazines: How did the Dow Jones perform that day in relation to the last days close.
5) It allows to make a prediction based on upcoming economic events because of the provided background
6) It allows fair gains when predicting the right option while having your money locked up for a relatively short term
7) It is not an IN-GAME question, so not open for gaming (or: utilization of better/faster information sources, better internet connectivity, ability to be on the game) because of early suspension

We Hubdubbers have been discussing the benefits/problems of the DOW "type" questions, seeming to look for ...
a) a DOW market that is "more" prediction, less "follow the DOW through the day."
b) many like the "in-play" DOW, and do not want to lose that type of market.

I suggest that if there were to be a "prediction" DOW, then this is it.
I can not imagine how it would get any better.

Might I recommend this discussion move to getsatisfaction where it will be a little more easily discussed?
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/when_should_questions_related_to_the_stock_market_djia_nasdaq_etc_close?