Created Thu 31st Jul 6:46am PDT by 
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Will Germany send more troops to Afghanistan by the end of 2008?
Current forecast: 33% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 33% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Recently Presidential nominee Barack Obama in Berlin asked the German's to commit more troops to the conflict in Afghanistan. Along with Obama, SecDef Robert Gates and other members of the U.S. military have asked the Germans to step up.
Currently the Germans are operating in the low risk areas of Afghanistan (the north) and not in areas where casualties are high. The German public isn't exactly keen on sending more troops to high risk areas, not especially because their constitution does not allow for foreign deployments.
Currently the Germans are operating in the low risk areas of Afghanistan (the north) and not in areas where casualties are high. The German public isn't exactly keen on sending more troops to high risk areas, not especially because their constitution does not allow for foreign deployments.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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Activity: H$3,973
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 30%
Action history:
Created Thu 31st Jul 6:46am PDT by punditwatch
punditwatch
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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score: 10
Radio Free Europe 1 week ago
BERLIN -- A German soldier has been killed and three more injured in an attack by militant forces in northern Afghanistan, German Defense Minister Franz Josef Jung said. The soldiers were
score: 10
CNN 2 weeks ago
record authenticates it. SNOW: One political observer says McCain's suggestion that Obama is more interested in winning the election than the war could cause a backlash. LARRY SABATO, UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA: It's red meat for the Republican base. But
score: 10
Spiegel Online 3 weeks ago
SPIEGEL: Many Germans are highly critical of the Bundeswehr's deployment in Afghanistan. Can you explain why we should put the lives of our soldiers at risk there? McKiernan: I believe they should relate the right outcome in Afghanistan to their own
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they wont send any more troops this year, hope not even next year...
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