Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

What will the number of people found to have fake degrees be working for the U.S Goverment?

Settled as No numbers released by suspend date

No numbers could be found besides old news articles surrounding employees already found to have the fake degrees

Background:

United States immigration officials are looking through a list of more than 9000 names to see how many federal employees may have bought a phony high school or college degree from a Spokane, Washington-based diploma mill.
http://msn.nzherald.co.nz/section/2/story.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10524482


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

0-10 people
1%
11-20 people
2%
21 or more people
3%
No numbers released by suspend date
94%
Activity: H$18,028
Settled as No numbers released by suspend date on Tue 16th Sep 5:20am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 16th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 5:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0-10 people: 15%, 11-20 people: 25%, 21 or more people: 30%, No numbers released by suspend date: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 31st Jul 1:46pm PDT by abbey
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 2:38pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: suspending pending edit of market options
Unsuspended Thu 31st Jul 3:58pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: I've edited the third option to state "21 or more people" this edit doesn't change the basic mechanics of the market, and doesn't effect previous positions on the market.
Settlement requested Mon 15th Sep 9:33pm PDT by geoff: From The Spokesman-Review:

"Material already provided to defense attorneys by the Justice Department reveals at least 135 U.S. government employees bought college or university degrees from the Randocks' operation, hoping to use them for career advancement or pay raises."

http://www.spokesmanreview.com/local/story.asp?ID=154132
Suspended Tue 16th Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No numbers released by suspend date' Tue 16th Sep 5:20am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: No numbers could be found besides old news articles surrounding employees already found to have the fake degrees

Suspend date: Tue 16th Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 5:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

9 weeks ago
felix predicted No numbers released by suspend date (H$50 at 94%)
9 weeks ago
geoff predicted No numbers released by suspend date (H$3,000 at 95%)
9 weeks ago
kirin predicted No numbers released by suspend date (H$100 at 94%)
9 weeks ago
bency predicted No numbers released by suspend date (H$226 at 93%)
9 weeks ago
wheeman predicted No numbers released by suspend date (H$100 at 93%)
more

Comments (9)

This is a great question -- but it appears to be missing an option for "21-29 people".
posted 15 weeks ago
bah - i was trying to suspend it before any bets were in so it could be edited. darn you kruijs! I'll let infernal work out with abbey how she wants to fix the market.
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
Why can't we simply edit the 3rd option to read 21 or more people?
posted 15 weeks ago
@ jenniandboys -- forgot to suspend it! (sorry)
posted 15 weeks ago
Yeah I do it all the time too. Now we don't even have that cute little box to click... I guess they expect the admins to actually fix the problem instead of just flagging it (sigh).
posted 15 weeks ago
This question has been reopened, and options have been edited.

"I've edited the third option to state "21 or more people" this edit doesn't change the basic mechanics of the market, and doesn't effect previous positions on the market." -- Category Editor
posted 15 weeks ago
  7 abbey
Thanks boys an girls for fixing my stuff up. Thanks for the correction wrangler.
posted 15 weeks ago
To think, I actually lived near Spokane Washington for a few years - if only I knew I was so close to a place where I could have got my "education" the easy way! LOL
posted 9 weeks ago
  9 geoff
Sorry, that's an old news article.
posted 9 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more