Created Thu 31st Jul 1:47pm PDT by 
tarpash
All questions » Politics » Congressional » tarpash 
Will Sen. Ted Stevens win re-election in 2008?
Current forecast: 33% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 33% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
In order for this market to settle as YES, Senator Stevens will have to win both the Alaska Republican Primary in August (in which he faces 5 opponents), AND the General Election in November (where he will probably face Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich).
If he resigns, decides not to seek re-election, or dies prior to the General Election, the market will settle as NO.
If he resigns, decides not to seek re-election, or dies prior to the General Election, the market will settle as NO.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$36,393
Question suspends in 3 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 40%
Action history:
Created Thu 31st Jul 1:47pm PDT by tarpash
tarpash
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (86)
86 predictions
harryhayfield
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bout3fittyComments (5)
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Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
MSNBC Local 21 hours ago
WASHINGTON - Democratic Sen. Daniel Inouye of Hawaii strongly defended the honor of Republican Sen. Ted Stevens at the Alaska senator's corruption trial Thursday, saying he's never heard of his friend telling a lie.'His reputation for truthfulness and
score: 10
NPR 6 days ago
The federal corruption trial of Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens is scheduled to continue Monday, after the judge nearly declared a mistrial because of a series of mistakes by the prosecution. It was the latest wrinkle in a case
Related tags
New in Politics » Congressional
I am glad that category editors have votes public, so it is open...
In any case, I am voting + on this. This is a signal of how cynical I am becoming. I normally would have voted no, as that is what I think "should" happen..But self interest of Alaskans would likely yield a + vote for him... anyway, we will see.
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