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Which will describe the circumstances regarding the Albertan bus murderer by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: Any other outcome or no reported news (75% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Any other outcome or no reported news with a probability of 75% (unchanged in last 1 day)

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7537675.stm

This is a horrific crime that appears to be completely random.

Market is trying to forecast what may be pending for the accused murderer.
 
Forecast history, %
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Life imprisonment in Canada without parole option
9%
Deportation to any other country
2%
Dead by his own hand
6%
Killed by an other person
5%
Death from illness, accident or natural causes
2%
Any other outcome or no reported news
75%
Activity: H$11,203
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Life imprisonment in Canada without parole option: 15%, Deportation to any other country: 15%, Dead by his own hand: 15%, Killed by an other person: 15%, Death from illness, accident or natural causes: 15%, Any other outcome or no reported news: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st Aug 10:44am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (38)

38 predictions

3 weeks ago
lizzielizzie predicted Dead by his own hand (H$20 at 7%)
3 weeks ago
andrew predicted Any other outcome or no reported news (H$50 at 75%)
3 weeks ago
monkeynacho predicted Life imprisonment in Canada without parole option (H$100 at 9%)
3 weeks ago
monkeynacho predicted Any other outcome or no reported news (H$20 at 76%)
3 weeks ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted Life imprisonment in Canada without parole option (H$20 at 8%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 paulcroft
I would like this question clarified. "....the Albertan bus murderer..." while the person accused of the crime is from Alberta, this event actually occurred in Manitoba (not far from where I live). The question leads to some confusion on first read as the title suggests that the crime occurred in Alberta!
posted 4 weeks ago
@ paulcroft,

My understanding is that the scheduled bus trip was to have been from Alberta to Manitoba, and yes, you're right about where the crime took place, but I was referring to the perpetrator, not the exact geographic location of where the crime was committed, I think if anyone was unclear a quick scan of the background link would easily clear it up. IF there in another heinous crime like this, soon, on a bus in either Alberta or Manitoba, then I guess it could become confusing. The entire episode is so vile it really makes me sick. It is all the more newsworthy precisely because such vicious, senseless crimes are more rare in Canada than in most other counties. If you think that this remains too confusing, please let me know.

Thanks!
V&H
posted 4 weeks ago
Here is a little follow up news:

http://www.canada.com/story.html?id=ba3498aa-995c-4f03-92f7-1a3cb0c79532
posted 3 weeks ago
  4 intlibber
Wellll sheeatt, all yus Canadians keep claiming when we yanks give up our guns that our crime will go away and we'll all learn to live in peace and harmony like y'all up nawth o the bordah....

My only question is.... do you think he decided we taste like chicken?
posted 3 weeks ago
@intlibber

Good subtle point there! LOL
What's funny is that it is lost on these geniuses on the left - in England they are going after "knife crime" now, just like they did with "gun crime". So they are taking away knives or talking about registering them, and treating crimes as more serious when there was a knife present... Still no general support among the "elitists" for brining back the death penalty. Someday we are going to have to figure out that crimes are commited by criminals, not by tools.
posted 3 weeks ago
"In the wake of the attack, Greyhound has scrapped a billboard ad campaign that extolled the relaxing upside of bus travel which had the unfortunate punch line stating: “There's a reason you've never heard of 'bus rage’”.

(This above is a true wire-service report.)
posted 3 weeks ago

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