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Where will the DJIA go on Monday, 4th August?

Settled as Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%)

See comment #1 for background info.
Level change to previous day close.
This question suspends at the "Opening Bell".
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Huge loss (larger or equal -3.50%)
0%
Striking loss (lesser -3.50% to -2.00%)
1%
Slight loss (lesser -2.00% to -1.00%)
7%
Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%)
26%
About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%)
23%
Slim gain (+0.30% to lesser +1.00%)
32%
Slight gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%)
10%
Massive gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%)
1%
Huge gain (greater or equal +3.50%)
0%
Activity: H$11,596
Settled as Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%) on Mon 4th Aug 2:09pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 4th Aug 6:25am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 4th Aug 2:09pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 4th Aug 6:25am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Huge loss (larger or equal -3.50%): 1%, Striking loss (lesser -3.50% to -2.00%): 2%, Slight loss (lesser -2.00% to -1.00%): 8%, Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%): 19%, About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%): 40%, Slim gain (+0.30% to lesser +1.00%): 19%, Slight gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%): 8%, Massive gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%): 2%, Huge gain (greater or equal +3.50%): 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st Aug 2:58pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Mon 4th Aug 6:25am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%)' Mon 4th Aug 2:09pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as slim loss since the DJIA closed down -0.37.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

94 predictions

3 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%) (H$100 at 22%)
3 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%) (H$100 at 20%)
3 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Slight gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%) (H$20 at 10%)
3 weeks ago
rbooth predicted About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%) (H$50 at 19%)
3 weeks ago
bookie predicted Slight gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%) (H$20 at 10%)
more

Comments

  1 kruijs[Power User]

Economic Calendar for Monday, August 4, 2008



Events (US)
Jun Personal Income: Previous: +1.9%.
Jun Personal Spending: Previous: +0.8%.
Jun Factory Orders: Previous: +0.6%.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-uscal.html


Events (Intl)
(not available yet)
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-intlcal.html

Bond offerings
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
(none)
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-bondoffer.html

IPO & Stock Offerings
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
(none)
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-newoffer.html

Splits
Symbol, Company, Split ratio
OLNT, 1 lane technologies corp, 5.000000
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/marketsummary/calendars/stockspecificsplits.asp

Earnings
Confirmed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
(none)
Proposed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
(none)
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/calendars/earningsdaily.asp

See also
Conference Calls / Earning http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/markets_calendar.html
Reports on Economic Indicators http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-indicators/
posted 3 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
Anyone in need of other/additional market/economic information to be provided? Please make suggestions, if so, together with a link to the source.
Thanks!
posted 3 weeks ago
GREAT Q man :-D I looove financials :-D
posted 3 weeks ago
Your pumping these questions out like starbucks.
posted 3 weeks ago
@dragon - Not a great analogy with starbucks going quickly down the drain! :)
posted 3 weeks ago
True true. There reducing there locations to just everywhere
posted 3 weeks ago

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