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Will the House issue a contempt citation for Karl Rove's non-appearance before October?.

Current forecast: 57% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 57% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Congress has recessed until September. Before they went on recess a court handed down a ruling saying in effect Congress has the right to call current and former administration officials to testify before committees, and those officials must appear. Karl Rove was called to testify and did not show up as W cited executive privilege.

So the question is as stated. Will the democrats exercise their right to oversight in this election year? If a contempt citation is issued during the month of September, ending 11:59 PM EDT Sept 30th, 2008, question should be settled as Yes. Any other outcome, such as another invitation to appear in front of a committee in lieu of a contempt citation will be settled as No.
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
57%
No
43%
Activity: H$5,956
Question suspends in 4 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 27th Sep 8:59pm PDT (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Sat 2nd Aug 2:05pm PDT by rbrog77
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (39)

39 predictions

23 hours ago
chryslercraig predicted Yes (H$50 at 57%)
2 days ago
actesq predicted Yes (H$20 at 57%)
1 week ago
msknowitall predicted Yes (H$100 at 57%)
2 weeks ago
questmaster predicted Yes (H$50 at 56%)
3 weeks ago
tarpash predicted No (H$300 at 43%)
more

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