Created Sat 2nd Aug 3:26pm PDT by 
onedave
All questions » Politics » Presidential » onedave 
Who will be the longest-lived US President on February 1, 2040?
Current forecast: Jimmy Carter (32% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Jimmy Carter with a probability of 32% (unchanged in last 1 day)
According to this wikipedia article, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Presidents_by_age, Gerald Ford is the longest-lived US President at 93 years, 165 days. Bill Clinton, the youngest living President, will turn 93 years, 166 days, on February 1, 2040.
After January 20, 2037, this market may assume that the current President finishes his/her term.
Note: Apparently, hubdub does not allow a suspension date of 2040.
After January 20, 2037, this market may assume that the current President finishes his/her term.
Note: Apparently, hubdub does not allow a suspension date of 2040.
Make your prediction!
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Gerald Ford |
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Jimmy Carter |
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George H. W. Bush |
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Bill Clinton |
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George W. Bush |
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Other President or tie |
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Activity: H$312
Question suspends in 9 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settlement date is on or after January 20, 2037.
Suspend date: Thu 2nd Aug 2018 1pm PDT (9 years to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Gerald Ford: 30%, Jimmy Carter: 30%, George H. W. Bush: 25%, Bill Clinton: 6%, George W. Bush: 6%, Other President or tie: 3%
Action history:
Created Sat 2nd Aug 3:26pm PDT by onedave
onedave
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settlement date is on or after January 20, 2037.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (8)
8 predictions
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Jimmy Carter (H$100 at 31%)
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Gerald Ford (H$1 at 30%)
bcguelph
jenniandboys
newswranglerComments (4)
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score: 10
Chicago Sun-Times 1 week ago
wonderful blind companion. And he probably would have had something good in a bottle for afterwards. 3 | Bill Clinton: Charm and storytelling go a long way in the blind, but my sense is he would be there as a social obligation more than for the hunting.
score: 10
Tampa Tribune 1 week ago
to answer for his decisions during the Vietnam War. She made Richard Nixon sweat over Watergate. She asked Jimmy Carter to be accountable for the hostage crisis in Iran. She put Bill Clinton on the defensive over Monica Lewinsky. Gerald Ford, Ronald
score: 10
Christian Broadcasting Network 2 weeks ago
fact when you go back over the last seven or eight Presidents -- you go through Jerry Ford, Jimmy Carter, George Bush, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. What do these men have in common? Nothing. They're all opposite except every one of the men claimed to
score: 10
Monday Morning 2 weeks ago
terrorism, to the point that Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice three times presented her resignation from the Administration. George Bush Senior intervened to dissuade her in order not to weaken the president and demolish his options at a difficult
score: 10
Hardball Times 2 weeks ago
with criminal elements. McLain dealt with bookies and mobsters, and Nixon picked Spiro Agnew as his running mate. Gerald Ford (1974-7)/Tony Oliva As far as many people were concerned Ford had no business being in the White House in the mid-1970s. It's
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In the meantime...anyone have change for a H$? :)
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