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Who will be the longest-lived US President on February 1, 2040?

Background: According to this wikipedia article, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Presidents_by_age, Gerald Ford is the longest-lived US President at 93 years, 165 days. Bill Clinton, the youngest living President, will turn 93 years, 166 days, on February 1, 2040.

After January 20, 2037, this market may assume that the current President finishes his/her term.

Note: Apparently, hubdub does not allow a suspension date of 2040.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settlement date is on or after January 20, 2037.

 
Forecast history %
Gerald Ford
27%
Jimmy Carter
21%
George H. W. Bush
17%
Bill Clinton
11%
George W. Bush
12%
Other President or tie
11%
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Aug 2018 12pm PST (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Gerald Ford: 30%, Jimmy Carter: 30%, George H. W. Bush: 25%, Bill Clinton: 6%, George W. Bush: 6%, Other President or tie: 3%

Action history:

Created Sat 2nd Aug 2008 2:26pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Aug 2018 12pm PST (8 years to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

45 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Jimmy Carter (H$1 at 21%)
48 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Gerald Ford (H$500 at 23%)
48 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Jimmy Carter (H$100 at 22%)
48 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted George H. W. Bush (H$100 at 18%)
48 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Other President or tie (H$500 at 8%)

Comments (4)

Are we trying to come up with the longest term markets possible today? If they ever come up with some way to let us earn interest while invested in a market, this would be worth it.. until then, I will join my two friends with a 1$ bet. If I'm still playing Hubdub in 40 years then I'll be very surprised to see this one pay out.
posted 1 year ago
  2 mrperfkt[Admin]
I like the idea of interest on long term markets!

In the meantime...anyone have change for a H$? :)
posted 1 year ago
Note to self, write in Jr's baby book note for HIS son to send me a holographic image of this result in 32 years.
posted 1 year ago
Note to self, write in Jr's baby book note for HIS son to send me a holographic image of this result in 32 years.
posted 1 year ago

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