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Created Sat 2nd Aug 4:53pm PDT by jchiang
All questions » General » Crime » 

Result of Vince Li's psych test?

Settled as Fit to stand trial

The "Beheader" is set to stand trial
http://www.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/story.html?id=8150d6e5-af53-4805-8217-a5f72fd49355

Background:

Vince Li looks set to get a court-appointed lawyer for his headline grabbing act of killing a fellow bus passenger. What will be the result of his psychiatric test?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080802/ap_on_re_ca/canada_bus_stabbing


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Fit to stand trial
57%
Not fit to stand trial
29%
no pysch test conducted before trial
14%
Activity: H$12,432
Settled as Fit to stand trial on Tue 7th Oct 3:39am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Dec 5:59am PST (3 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 7th Oct 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 6th Oct 11:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Fit to stand trial: 33%, Not fit to stand trial: 33%, no pysch test conducted before trial: 34%

Action history:

Created Sat 2nd Aug 4:53pm PDT by jchiang
Suspended Tue 7th Oct 1:15am PDT by mork[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Tue 7th Oct 1:15am PDT by mork[Power User]: http://www.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/story.html?id=8150d6e5-af53-4805-8217-a5f72fd49355 (market suspended)
Settled as 'Fit to stand trial' Tue 7th Oct 3:39am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The "Beheader" is set to stand trial
http://www.canada.com/montrealgazette/news/story.html?id=8150d6e5-af53-4805-8217-a5f72fd49355

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Dec 5:59am PST (3 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 7th Oct 3:39am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 6th Oct 11:40pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (39)

39 predictions

12 weeks ago
hexerei predicted Not fit to stand trial (H$20 at 39%)
14 weeks ago
superhans predicted Fit to stand trial (H$47 at 48%)
14 weeks ago
steveb predicted Fit to stand trial (H$200 at 47%)
15 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Not fit to stand trial (H$100 at 58%)
15 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Not fit to stand trial (H$100 at 57%)
more

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