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Will Jacques Rogge be IOC president after the 121st IOC Session (October 2nd 2009, Copenhagen)?

Current forecast: 49% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 49% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

International Olympic Committee President, Jacques Rogge, has said that the success of the Beijing Olympics will decide whether or not he will seek an extension of his term in 2009.
http://www.sportbusiness.com/news/167540/rogge-s-role-dependant-upon-success-of-beijing

Beijing Olympics to complete Rogge's re-election as IOC chief
http://www.bangkokpost.com/sportsplus/sportsplus.php?id=129253


IOC Executive Board:
http://www.olympic.org/uk/organisation/ioc/executive/index_uk.asp

About IOC Sessions:
http://multimedia.olympic.org/pdf/en_report_942.pdf


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
49%
No
51%
Activity: H$17,043
Question suspends in 43 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 2nd Oct 2009 12:59am PDT (43 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 3rd Aug 5:55am PDT by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Fri 2nd Oct 2009 12:59am PDT (43 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (66)

66 predictions

4 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted Yes (H$50 at 49%)
5 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$4,000 at 43%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 57%)
8 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 48%)
14 weeks ago
pippi1500 predicted No (H$100 at 56%)
more

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