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Where will the next Hurricane make landfall in the US?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/011453.shtml
Background:
Texas and Florida are especially vulnerable to Hurricane hits due to their location in the Gulf of Mexico. For some general history in the 2007 season only one Hurricane made landfall, in 2006 none made landfall but in 2005 6 Hurricanes made landfall, one of them being Katrina.
So far Florida's been hit the most, but Texas and Louisiana are also hotspots for landfall.
Settled
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Texas |
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Florida |
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Carolinas |
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Mississippi |
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Alabama |
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Georgia |
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Louisiana |
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None of the Above |
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Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Landfall will be determined by news reports (Eye wall). If a Hurricane is reported to have made landfall as a Hurricane it counts.
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2:44pm PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 7:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Texas: 20%, Florida: 20%, Carolinas: 20%, Mississippi: 10%, Alabama: 10%, Georgia: 5%, Louisiana: 10%, None of the Above: 5%
Action history:
ryanj 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: show details
jake: show details 
newswrangler: show details"NEW ORLEANS - Packing 110 mph winds, Hurricane Gustav made landfall on the Louisiana coast on Monday. The eye landed southwest of New Orleans at Cocodrie, La., at 10:30 ET, according to the National Hurricane Center."
All predictions made after 10:30AM EDT ought be voided.
thebenzo: MADE LANDFALL AS REPORTED BY ALL NEWS SOURCES
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Landfall will be determined by news reports (Eye wall). If a Hurricane is reported to have made landfall as a Hurricane it counts.... read all
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infernalmachine
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THE GFDL MODEL IN CALLING FOR EDOUARD TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH
AT LANDFALL...ALTHOUGH THE REMAINING GUIDANCE IS LESS AGGRESSIVE.
BASED ON THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND PAST FORECAST ERROR
CHARACTERISTICS...THERE IS ABOUT A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EDOUARD
WILL BE A HURRICANE NEAR THE TIME OF LANDFALL. Noaa Statement.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26000210/
I have battened down the hatches. (West Houston) So far, only a light steady rain.
It's weird when the weather person projects a 90% chance of rain. :0
Gustav's eye was within 12 miles (19 kilometers) of the shore at 7:30 a.m. (8:30 a.m. ET), according to CNN's Doppler radar. The storm could make landfall shortly after 9 a.m. ET, CNN meteorologists say
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