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Will the first letter of Sunday's New York Times front page headline be a vowel or consonant?

Settled as Consonant

Sunday August 10th's New York Times print edition - A,E,I,O,U or Other?
http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Vowel
26%
Consonant
74%
Activity: H$7,625
Settled as Consonant on Sun 10th Aug 11:48am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As visible at: http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html.

The "Front page headline" is defined as the text accompanying and displayed above, below or beside the largest photograph on the front page of Sunday's New York Times print edition.
In the unlikely event the first character in the headline as described above is a character other than an English Alphabetic character (A-Z), the first alphabetic character in the headline will settle this market.

Suspend date: Sat 9th Aug 6:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sun 10th Aug 11:48am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 9th Aug 6:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Vowel: 35%, Consonant: 65%

Action history:

Created Mon 4th Aug 11:13am PDT by swilson[Power User]
Suspended Sat 9th Aug 6:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 10th Aug 7:09am PDT by paul444: http://www.nytimes.com/indexes/2008/08/10/pageone/scan/index.html
Settlement requested Sun 10th Aug 10:16am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "Consonant"

"Russia ..."
Settled as 'Consonant' Sun 10th Aug 11:48am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.nytimes.com/indexes/2008/08/10/pageone/scan/index.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As visible at: http://www.nytimes.com/pages/todayspaper/index.html. ... read all

 

Predictions (37)

37 predictions

2 weeks ago
bency predicted Consonant (H$50 at 74%)
2 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted Vowel (H$50 at 26%)
2 weeks ago
youbet predicted Consonant (H$1,000 at 71%)
2 weeks ago
paul444 predicted Vowel (H$100 at 31%)
3 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted Consonant (H$80 at 77%)
more

Comments (8)

  1 swilson[Power User]
Considering the random nature of this question and the questionable "newsworthiness", this should be the last week of this market series. However, I will spend the week coming up with a new NYT related question. Perhaps, "What will the readership of NYT be at the end of the week?"??? Something of that nature. I'm open to ideas.
posted 3 weeks ago
OOOOOOOhhhh let's see... what's gonna be in the news this weekend (?)

Obama? -- nah.

Olympics? not a chance.

USA Olympic wins? never.
posted 3 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
@swilson...when did superusers become king? how can you decide if a question gets posted or not? theres a big debate going on about this in the sports cat. i think you should go find it at getsatisfaction and read what nigel said before deciding on your own to stop a question. if their was a discussion-debate on this open to ALL HD's i missed it. if such a thing took place and it was decided this question is no longer valid, then i'm aplogise to you.
posted 3 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
your the creator your not forced to post the question...imho you can't say anybody else can't.
posted 3 weeks ago
@ dieseldog -- The way I read swilson's comment was similar to what kruijs said about the question he has been posting over the past week or more:
<http://www.hubdub.com/m12874/Where_will_the_DJIA_go_on_Friday_August_8_2008>,
when he said, "This question will no longer be created by me after this edition.
Feel free to continue creating this market if you like."


While swilson didn't say it in the same way, that's the way I understood it -- and I do see how others could read it differently. (Electronic communication just *doesn't do it* sometimes!)

My "hit" was swilson wanted to create something "new" ... and perhaps thought that some users might be "looking" for the question next week ... in a similar way that some users look for the next "Gallup Polling" question, or a "Dow Jones" question, or even the next "Red Sox" question ;-)

In my view, if you, or anyone else, wanted to continue the "New York Times vowel or consonant" question, or kruijs' "Dow Jones version" question, it would be fine!
posted 3 weeks ago
  6 dieseldog
@newswrangler..after sleeping on it i believe your correct as usual.

@swilson..i'm sorry for over reacting. please forgive me. no excuse i shouldn't have done that. have a nice day.
posted 3 weeks ago
  7 swilson[Power User]
I see that this blew up and died while I was in absentia.

@newswrangler, you were correct.
@dieseldog, I'm not sure if your passion stems from loving the question, loving the freedom to create such a question or a little of both, but either way, I'm delighted you are so passionate about it.

I'm not saying that the question doesn't have a place here, it's just my decision to make a different kind of contribution to the site. In looking over my previous questions, a lot of them were silly little random things like this and I just wanted to move towards selecting more news oriented markets. It'd be great if someone took over the question, after all, it can grow up and move on, it'll always be my baby. I'd be so proud...
posted 3 weeks ago
Figures, Russia would spoil the Olympic headlines ... with USA athletes ... ;-)
posted 2 weeks ago

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