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Will there be any weather related disasters w/ damages exceeding $1B Aug-Dec 2008 in the US?

Current forecast: 70% chance 7%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 70% likely to happen (down 7% in last 1 day)

Please refer to this interesting graphic I found related to this market:

http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/reports/billion/billion2007.pdf

For purposes of settlement weather related disasters will including the following types: Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, Severe Weather, Blizzards, Fires, Nor'easters, Ice Storms, Heat Waves/Droughts and Freezes, just like on the graphic.

Repost from previous question with more precise starting odd set as Yes for 65%.
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
70%
No
30%
Activity: H$7,385
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Mon 4th Aug 1:19pm PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

6 hours ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 68%)
23 hours ago
mikete90 predicted Yes (H$100 at 66%)
1 day ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted Yes (H$8,500 at 72%)
3 days ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Yes (H$750 at 65%)
3 days ago
divakaleigh predicted Yes (H$20 at 64%)
more

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