Created Mon 4th Aug 1:19pm PDT by
valornhonor
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » 
Will there be any weather related disasters w/ damages exceeding $1B Aug-Dec 2008 in the US?
Current forecast: 70% chance
7%
7%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 70% likely to happen (down 7% in last 1 day)
Please refer to this interesting graphic I found related to this market:
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/reports/billion/billion2007.pdf
For purposes of settlement weather related disasters will including the following types: Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, Severe Weather, Blizzards, Fires, Nor'easters, Ice Storms, Heat Waves/Droughts and Freezes, just like on the graphic.
Repost from previous question with more precise starting odd set as Yes for 65%.
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/reports/billion/billion2007.pdf
For purposes of settlement weather related disasters will including the following types: Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, Severe Weather, Blizzards, Fires, Nor'easters, Ice Storms, Heat Waves/Droughts and Freezes, just like on the graphic.
Repost from previous question with more precise starting odd set as Yes for 65%.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$7,385
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 65%
Action history:
Created Mon 4th Aug 1:19pm PDT by
valornhonor
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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