Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
My Predictions

Will Obama Leave the country before election?

Current forecast: 32% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 32% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

With the Olympics coming up and Obama support in Europe theres a lot of reasons for him to leave the country before the election however in a interview he said he did not think he was going to leave the country before the election. Will he miss out on viewing the Olympics and visiting his supporters or will he stick to his guns?

If Obama travels anywhere requiring the use of his passport then that will be considered outside the country.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Yes
32%
No
68%
Activity: H$20,127
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If Obama travels anywhere requiring the use of his passport then that will be considered outside the country.

Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 12:59am PDT (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Tue 5th Aug 12:09pm PDT by dragonfangxl
Suspended Tue 5th Aug 1:46pm PDT by destry[Admin]: pending clarifications
Clarified Tue 5th Aug 2:03pm PDT by destry[Admin]: If Obama travels anywhere requiring the use of his passport then that will be considered outside the country.
Unsuspended Tue 5th Aug 2:06pm PDT by destry[Admin]: If Obama travels anywhere requiring the use of his passport then that will be considered outside the country.
Clarified Thu 14th Aug 9:58am PDT by destry[Admin]: Question is asking if he leaves the country before the November election.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If Obama travels anywhere requiring the use of his passport then that will be considered outside the country.... read all

 

Predictions (44)

44 predictions

4 days ago
horatiomonty predicted Yes (H$480 at 31%)
4 days ago
horatiomonty predicted Yes (H$500 at 29%)
4 days ago
lesley[Admin] predicted Yes (H$50 at 28%)
5 days ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted No (H$800 at 71%)
5 days ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 71%)
more

Comments (7)

Dear Barry, if you decide to leave the country please take Johny with you!
posted 3 weeks ago
  2 ryanj[Admin]
No way Obama would leave. He really needs to focus on Domestic issues now. The overseas trip was a "Catch All" trip to route any foreign policy concerns. But the economy isn't getting any better, and if Obama left again he'd be asking to get attacked on it.

Ryan
posted 3 weeks ago
You have to think about the Olympics which is nothing but a huge photo op for these politicians. If McCain goes, whats Obama got to be worried about? He wouldn't attack Obama for doing the same thing he did.
posted 3 weeks ago
I still can't understand why he left the first time. He should have been campaigning here, I really don't care if he's more popular around the world the mccain, and i dont know anyone who does.
posted 3 weeks ago
  5 dieseldog
@ironman..the left wing of the dem party cares. they think the usa should be nice so everybody likes us. they don't care that the usa does more (finacially) than any of their socialist heros. when the world has a major problem who do they call to fix it? after its fixed the usa is an arrognat bunch of bad guys. just mho.
posted 3 weeks ago
  6 pixelpaws
So, just to clarify, this is asking if he will leave the country again, presumably after he's received the nomination?
posted 2 weeks ago
  7 destry[Admin]
@pixelpaws - Yes.
posted 2 weeks ago

Please log in or join to post a comment.

New to Hubdub?

Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions

Start playing or learn more