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John A. Junior Gotti is going up to trial again. Will he be forced to do time in prison?

Current forecast: 39% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 39% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

John Gotti, son of the late mafia boss, is going on trial with the fbi for being connected to 3 murders. Hes been on trial before and the question is, will he be forced to do time this time or will he, for the fourth time, be aquitted. In order for it to be a yes, he must be sentenced to more than a months jail time and stay in for at least a month.
 
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Yes
39%
No
61%
Activity: H$1,499
Question suspends in 1 year
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Tue 5th Aug 7:48pm PDT by dragonfangxl
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (8)

8 predictions

3 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 60%)
3 weeks ago
notablenotices predicted Yes (H$20 at 41%)
3 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$20 at 41%)
3 weeks ago
ryanj[Admin] predicted Yes (H$20 at 41%)
3 weeks ago
ampersand predicted Yes (H$100 at 40%)

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