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How many typhoons will hit the Olympics?

Settled as 1 storms

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/othersports/olympics/2509979/Beijing-Olympics-Typhoon-strikes-equestrian-venue-in-Hong-Kong.html

Only one Typhoon affected the Olympics while the Olympics were in session. Immediately after the Olympics ended Typhoon Nuri hit Hong Kong but the Equestrian events had already concluded as stated here: http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia-pacific/2008/08/2008822181815404668.html

Background:

As many as three of the massive storms, replete with strong winds and torrential rains, could hit China's East Coast later this week - spelling havoc for several popular events, including the much-watched and highly anticipated opening ceremonies.

How many do you think will be reported as having hit/affected the Olympics?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

0 storms
52%
1 storms
25%
2 storms
18%
3 storms
5%
4 storms
0%
5 storms
0%
6 storms
0%
7 storms
0%
8 storms
0%
9 or more storms
0%
Activity: H$18,936
Settled as 1 storms on Tue 26th Aug 1:02pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 11th Aug 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 26th Aug 1:02pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 11th Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 storms: 45%, 1 storms: 25%, 2 storms: 12%, 3 storms: 6%, 4 storms: 4%, 5 storms: 3%, 6 storms: 2%, 7 storms: 1%, 8 storms: 1%, 9 or more storms: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th Aug 4:50am PDT by shojun
Suspended Mon 11th Aug 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 26th Aug 4:14am PDT by shojun: Hard one to actually quantify. However, it certainly had one - http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/othersports/olympics/2509979/Beijing-Olympics-Typhoon-strikes-equestrian-venue-in-Hong-Kong.html, and according to http://equisearch.com/equiwire_news/olympics2008/olympic_wrapup_082508/ there were other ones including Typhoon Nuri but they strucky just before and just after the Olympics. Nuri was a close call for the final equestrian events but held off just long enough. So I think it can be settled as just 1.
Settlement requested Tue 26th Aug 6:53am PDT by elly: There is no data for typhoons during the Olympics.
"How many typhoons will hit the Olympics?" - not in Hong Kong, which link presented.
Settled as '1 storms' Tue 26th Aug 1:02pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/othersports/olympics/2509979/Beijing-Olympics-Typhoon-strikes-equestrian-venue-in-Hong-Kong.html

Only one Typhoon affected the Olympics while the Olympics were in session. Immediately after the Olympics ended Typhoon Nuri hit Hong Kong but the Equestrian events had already concluded as stated here: http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia-pacific/2008/08/2008822181815404668.html

Suspend date: Mon 11th Aug 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 26th Aug 1:02pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 11th Aug 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (66)

66 predictions

16 weeks ago
steez predicted 0 storms (H$20 at 52%)
16 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted 2 storms (H$200 at 16%)
16 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted 1 storms (H$500 at 22%)
16 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted 2 storms (H$500 at 11%)
16 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted 0 storms (H$300 at 65%)
more

Comments (3)

Why did this question settle as "1", and this question couldn't be settled?

<http://www.hubdub.com/m12705/Will_a_typhoon_make_landfall_in_China_during_the_Olympic_Games>
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
good question NW.
posted 13 weeks ago

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