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Created Wed 6th Aug 2:03pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
All questions » Business » Indices » 

Where will the DJIA go on Friday, August 8, 2008?

Settled as Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%)

Settled as "striking gain) as DJIA closed up 2.65%

Background:

See comment #1 for background info.
Level change to previous day close.
This question suspends at the "Opening Bell".


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Huge loss (larger or equal -3.50%)
3%
Striking loss (lesser -3.50% to -2.00%)
6%
Moderate loss (lesser -2.00% to -1.00%)
17%
Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%)
21%
About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%)
21%
Slim gain (+0.30% to lesser +1.00%)
12%
Moderate gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%)
10%
Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%)
5%
Huge gain (greater or equal +3.50%)
5%
Activity: H$27,697
Settled as Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%) on Fri 8th Aug 1:46pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 6:25am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 1:46pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 6:25am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Huge loss (larger or equal -3.50%): 1%, Striking loss (lesser -3.50% to -2.00%): 2%, Moderate loss (lesser -2.00% to -1.00%): 8%, Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%): 19%, About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%): 40%, Slim gain (+0.30% to lesser +1.00%): 19%, Moderate gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%): 8%, Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%): 2%, Huge gain (greater or equal +3.50%): 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th Aug 2:03pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Fri 8th Aug 6:25am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%)' Fri 8th Aug 1:46pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as "striking gain) as DJIA closed up 2.65%

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 6:25am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 1:46pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 6:25am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (152)

152 predictions

16 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Slim loss (lesser -1.00% to -0.30%) (H$150 at 20%)
16 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Slim gain (+0.30% to lesser +1.00%) (H$100 at 12%)
16 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted About even (lesser -0.30% to lesser +0.30%) (H$20 at 22%)
16 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Striking gain (+2.00% to lesser +3.50%) (H$100 at 4%)
16 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Moderate gain (+1.00% to lesser +2.00%) (H$100 at 10%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
This question will no longer be created by me after this edition.
Feel free to continue creating this market if you like.
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]

Economic Calendar for Friday, August 8, 2008



Events (US)
2Q Prelim Nonfarm Productivity: Expected: +2.4%. Previous: +2.6%.
2Q Prelim Unit Labor Costs: Expected: +1.7%. Previous: +2.2%.
Jun Wholesale Trade: Expected: +0.6%. Previous: +0.8%.
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-uscal.html


Events (Intl)
GER: Jun Foreign Trade
FRA: Jun Foreign trade
ITA: Jun Indus Production
GER: Jun Indus Production
UK: Aug BoE interest rate decision
EU: ECB interest rate decision
CAN: Jun Building Permits Expected: +0.2% Previous: +1.1%
JPN: Jul Trade Statistics for 1st 20 days of month In Yen Previous: -230.43B
JPN: Jul Bank Lending (on year) Previous: +2%
JPN: Jul Money Stock, Broadly-defined Liquidity Money Supply (on year) Previous: +2.3%
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024-intlcal.html

Bond offerings: Public and Municipal Finance
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
Bay Area Toll Authority, 717.83, Citi/-
Dallas Co Comm College Dt, 220, Southwest Securities/-
Houston Methodist Hospital, 350, J P Morgan Securities Inc/-
Lone Star College System, 150, Morgan Keegan & Co Inc/-
Michigan Municipal Bond Auth, 690.59, Siebert Brandford Shank & Co/-
New York City-New York, 800, J P Morgan Securities Inc/-
Wisconsin, 185, Lehman Brothers/-
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-bondoffer.html

IPO & Stock Offerings
Issuer, Total (mil), Bookrunner/Bond Counsel(s)
(none)
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-newoffer.html

Splits
Symbol, Company, Split ratio
ICLR, icon plc (adr), 2:1
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/marketsummary/calendars/stockspecificsplits.asp

Earnings
Confirmed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
us:AYLDF, Ayala Land, Q2 2008
us:HKUMF.PK, Hokuetsu Metal Co Ltd, Q1 2009
Proposed Releases
Symbol, Company, Period
us:EUYNF.PK, Eu Yan Sang International Lt, Q4 2008
us:MIDIL.PK, Motech Industries Inc, Q2 2008
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/calendars/earningsdaily.asp

See also
Conference Calls / Earning http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/markets_calendar.html
Reports on Economic Indicators http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-indicators/
posted 16 weeks ago

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