Created Wed 6th Aug 11:14pm PDT by oppugner

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Will Qantas make headlines again during August due to mech/tech problems on one of their aircraft?

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24147906-12377,00.html

Time Conversion used: http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/converted.html?month=8&day=8&year=2008&hour=13&min=55&sec=0&p1=47&p2=179

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Disruption must be reported as being caused by a mechanical and/or technical problem/failure. Weather delays do not count.
Flight dispruptions include the aircraft not leaving the ground at all, having to divert to an alternate landing site, departing late and late arrival.
Press reports of prior incidents (including that latest involving QF850) do not count, it must be a new incident.

Will Qantas make headlines again during August due to mech/tech problems on one of their aircraft?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

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Settled

	Yes	40%
	No	60%

Activity: H$27,763

Settled as Yes on Fri 8th Aug 7:18am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 31st Aug 6:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 7:18am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Aug 8:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th Aug 11:14pm PDT by oppugner

Suspended Thu 7th Aug 11:35pm PDT by newswrangler: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Thu 7th Aug 11:35pm PDT by newswrangler: Winning prediction = "Yes"

While it's getting difficult to keep score, it does appear that this event occurred today. (market suspended)

Settled as 'Yes' Fri 8th Aug 7:18am PDT by ryanj: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24147906-12377,00.html

Time Conversion used: http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/converted.html?month=8&day=8&year=2008&hour=13&min=55&sec=0&p1=47&p2=179

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Suspend date: Sun 31st Aug 6:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 7:18am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 7th Aug 8:55pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (21)

21 predictions

16 weeks ago

curios predicted Yes (H$200 at 40%)

16 weeks ago

greg77 predicted No (H$20 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

gadget666 predicted No (H$1 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

steez predicted No (H$42 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

steviesaf predicted No (H$100 at 60%)

more

16 weeks ago

curios predicted Yes (H$200 at 40%)

16 weeks ago

greg77 predicted No (H$20 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

gadget666 predicted No (H$1 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

steez predicted No (H$42 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

steviesaf predicted No (H$100 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted No (H$20 at 60%)

16 weeks ago

smutster predicted Yes (H$100 at 40%)

16 weeks ago

mrperfkt predicted No (H$1,000 at 59%)

16 weeks ago

mrperfkt predicted No (H$1,000 at 57%)

16 weeks ago

fijis predicted No (H$200 at 54%)

16 weeks ago

jake_liang predicted No (H$500 at 53%)

16 weeks ago

jenniandboys predicted No (H$100 at 52%)

16 weeks ago

jchiavelli predicted Yes (H$150 at 48%)

16 weeks ago

kruijs predicted No (H$500 at 51%)

16 weeks ago

rooooo predicted No (H$200 at 51%)

16 weeks ago

rooooo predicted No (H$300 at 50%)

16 weeks ago

newswrangler predicted Yes (H$200 at 50%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (4)

  1 oppugner

Anyone got a url for the event?

posted 16 weeks ago

  2 jenniandboys

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24147906-12377,00.html

posted 16 weeks ago

  3 dragon01

I've lost some money on this bet, but better me than having people hurt or worse by inflight failures. Lots of airlines have preflight system check failures all the time. Quantas is now under the microscope and reporters will be looking for anything. It still speaks volumes for this airline's safety record when they catch these issues before taking off. I'd rather sit on the ground til it got fixed than fall out of the sky. Still a remarkable record to have never lost a jet A/C in flight, after more than 50 yrs. These guys fly extreme long distances over water so they obviously want to get it right EVERY time.

posted 16 weeks ago

  4 dragon01

oops...Qantas...not "Quantas"...sorry folks.

posted 16 weeks ago

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