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Created Wed 6th Aug 11:24pm PDT by zeebac
All questions » Sport » 

How many Gold medals will New Zealand get?

Settled as 1-3

3

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 1-3
99%
4-6
1%
7-9
0%
10 or more
0%
Activity: H$54,607
Settled as 1-3 on Sun 24th Aug 5:34pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 5:34pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1-3: 15%, 4-6: 35%, 7-9: 40%, 10 or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th Aug 11:24pm PDT by zeebac
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 12:19am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Flagged by supser user: Options #2 and #3 are not mutually exclusive.
(Probably just a typo -- category editor can edit/fix it)
Unsuspended Thu 7th Aug 6:58am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: market has been edited
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 2:07am PDT by orlin: 1-3

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/92A/NZL_T.shtml

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/2008standings/index.html
Suspended Sun 24th Aug 8:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 4:12pm PDT by shojun: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml - NZ ended on 3 gold medals, and 9 overall.
Settled as '1-3' Sun 24th Aug 5:34pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: 3

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 5:34pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 24th Aug 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (78)

78 predictions

14 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted 1-3 (H$2,500 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
m3ga predicted 1-3 (H$3,284 at 91%)
14 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted 1-3 (H$5 at 87%)
14 weeks ago
steez predicted 1-3 (H$34 at 87%)
14 weeks ago
steez predicted 1-3 (H$100 at 85%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 jenniandboys[Admin]
Market has been edited and reopened
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 jchiang
What if no gold medals are won?
posted 16 weeks ago
  3 zeebac
good question i didnt think of that initally i hope that they do get at least one. Is there a way to edit after the question is posted?
posted 16 weeks ago
  4 jenniandboys[Admin]
I've already edited it once when there was virtually no money in the market. I really don't want to mess with it anymore now that there are a significant number of wagers here. I think its unlikely that they will get no gold medals, but if that happens, we'll have to void the question.
posted 16 weeks ago
  5 dieseldog
@jenni..I really don't want to mess with it anymore now that there are a significant number of wagers here...what do you base "significant" on..the number of people? the amount wagered? both? just curious as to what your opinon is. have a nice day.
posted 16 weeks ago
  6 jchiang
Hmm.. would be a shame to void the question
Let's hope the kiwis win a gold.. go kiwis as I prefer this market to settle as opposed to being voided!
posted 16 weeks ago
  7 jchiang
Dear Amins -
Is it possible to change the first option to 0-3 as opposed to 1-3?
posted 16 weeks ago
  8 bayoubear[Admin]
Yep...let's hope the kiwis win a gold to 'avoid' the 'void'

Even though there isn't a lot of money, or too many positions taken so far, it's just the point that there may be some who made the wager they did based on the question as it was....and it has been open several days now. In fact we're now getting into the fourth day of the games, and a major adjustment like that just isn't right...hate to see it voided, if it comes to that, but I think it's best just to let it ride.
posted 16 weeks ago
  9 zeebac
well they are on the board with TWO golds GO the kiwis
posted 15 weeks ago

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