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Will CERN's Large Hadron Collider discover supersymmetry by Dec 31, 2010?

Current forecast: 25% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 25% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Supersymmetry is an idea in particle physics which says that every elementary particle of nature has a high-energy 'superpartner'. No particle accelerator yet built has been powerful enough to detect these extra particles, but physicists hope the LHC might have what it takes. Supersymmetry could lead to a unified view of the forces of nature and solve the 'dark matter' problem - why 20 percent of the mass of the universe seems to be invisible. For more, see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supersymmetry
 
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Yes
25%
No
75%
Activity: H$420
Question suspends in 2 years
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Settled by an announcement from CERN, or by publication of a detection result in a reputable scientific journal.

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 12:14am PDT by superhans
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Settled by an announcement from CERN, or by publication of a detection result in a reputable scientific journal.... read all

 

Predictions

1 week ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Yes (H$100 at 25%)
2 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$300 at 75%)
2 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$20 at 75%)

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