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Will the Allen Telescope Array detect a signal from extraterrestrial intelligent life by 2020?

Current forecast: 30% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 30% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Allen Telescope Array is a cluster of radio dishes that work together as a single giant antenna. Sited in California and partly funded by Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen, and colleague Nathan Myhrvold, it will be used simultaneously for traditional radio astronomy, and in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence. But will it really find aliens? For more, see: http://www.seti.org/seti/projects/ata/


Settlement details: Settled by an announcement from California's SETI Institute of the unequivocal detection of a signal from space that could only be of intelligent origin.

 
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Yes
30%
No
70%
Activity: H$2,277
Question suspends in 12 years

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2020 3:59pm PST (12 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 12:50am PDT by superhans

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2020 3:59pm PST (12 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (15)

15 predictions

6 days ago
aleksejenko predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)
3 weeks ago
pauliharman predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
5 weeks ago
kitkat predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
9 weeks ago
paganagnostic predicted Yes (H$100 at 29%)
11 weeks ago
pmcpeak predicted No (H$100 at 71%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 randburg
@superhans -- We are so glad to know that you will be here to play Hubdub twelve years from now...! See you then...
posted 16 weeks ago

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