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Will France meet its Olympic medal target?

Settled as Yes

Which is 7th place in the overall medal tally classification, transcribed as 35-40 medals.
Here we don't ask about the number of medals but the place France achieve.
Will France be at 7th or higher place at the final overall medal tally classification?
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
88%
No
12%
Activity: H$159,206
Settled as Yes on last Monday 1:16pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 23rd Aug 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: last Monday 1:16pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 1:19am PDT by orlin
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 9am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspended to clarify flag and settlement details.
Unsuspended Fri 22nd Aug 9:25am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]
Suspended Sat 23rd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested last Sunday 2:59am PDT by orlin: Yes
France is 7th on the overall medal standings.
As additional criteria has also won 40 medals in total, just as the target was.

http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/2008standings/index.html

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml
Settlement requested last Sunday 11:54am PDT by randburg: The Olympics are over, and France easily made 7th place. The answer is YES and should be settled at this time.
Settlement requested last Monday 4:33am PDT by xxxjetxxx: The France is in the 7th position in medal tally http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/2008standings/index.html
Settled as 'Yes' last Monday 1:16pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/2008standings/index.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (152)

152 predictions

1 week ago
xxxjetxxx predicted Yes (H$50 at 88%)
1 week ago
brjschmidt predicted Yes (H$98 at 88%)
1 week ago
rbrog77 predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 88%)
1 week ago
linny40 predicted Yes (H$50 at 88%)
1 week ago
jeremyismediocre predicted Yes (H$50 at 87%)
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Comments (10)

  1 elly
France is allready at 7th place.
posted 1 week ago
Yes, but they are also 11th. This question is unclear and I think it should be voided.
posted 1 week ago
I don't think it's in the least bit unclear.

The question talks about the "overall medal tally", as distinct from the gold medal tally. France's olympic medal target was also set by this 'overall' number of medals criteria (http://au.sports.yahoo.com/news/article/-/4832712/olympics-france-target-40-medals-beijing). So, if you take the question at face value, that's clearly the measure we should use here.
posted 1 week ago
  4 mrperfkt[Admin]
The last statement in the background asks "Will France be at 7th or higher place at the final overall medal tally classification?"

Overall medal count can be found here:

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

The 6-7th place rankings there appear to be consistent with the goal of 35-40 medals (also in the background information).
This page is confusing, however as the left hand column ranks by total gold medals. The ranking for the total medal count is on the right hand side (where France currently appears to be in 7th place with 34 total medals).

I will suspend in effort to confirm this however.

I will suspend in effort
posted 1 week ago
  5 beezler
The question doesn't say "gold medals", it says "overall medals", which includes gold silver and bronze
posted 1 week ago
  6 beezler
Also intersting how pitched wants the question voided when he clearly read it wrong and doesnt want to lose the 10k he dropped
posted 1 week ago
  7 randburg
WHAT could be clearer? WHAT is the question?

"Here we don't ask about the number of medals but the place France achieve.
Will France be at 7th or higher place at the final overall medal tally classification?"
posted 1 week ago
  8 elly
I thing here is the answer - "The place France achieve"
http://www.nbcolympics.com/medals/2008standings/index.html
posted 1 week ago
  9 mrperfkt[Admin]
@Elly - yep, that link looks like it is consistent with the official Olympics page.

TOTAL medal count ranking will be used for settlement.

The story which this question is based on can be found here:
http://au.sports.yahoo.com/olympics/news/article/-/4850487/olympics-french-sports-minister-aims-37-medals-beijing
posted 1 week ago
Of course I want the question voided because I have 10 k riding on it. However, I don't think that I misread the question. The question asks "Will France be at 7th or higher place at the final overall medal tally classification?" To me the overall medal tally classification just means the medal tally - the heading on the official site is Overall Medal Standings. You can then sort the medal tally however you like, but the usual way is by gold then silver then bronze. France are currently ranked 12th on the official "overall medal standings".
http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

However, if this is clear to everybody else then perhaps it is just my problem. Just trying to explain where I'm coming from.
posted 1 week ago

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