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Will Facebook IPO/Exit At A Valuation Greater Than $15bn

Background: Microsoft invested in Facebook last year at a $15bn valuation which many cited as excessive. Will Facebook be able to IPO or exit at that valuation (or higher)?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
56%
No
44%
Question suspends in 36 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 7th Aug 2010 11:59pm PST (36 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 2008 12:51am PST by fredwilson
Clarified Thu 7th Aug 2008 2:10pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Yes, Facebook has indicated for some time that they want to go to an IPO. With Microsoft investing at $15bn it would be expected that their next round (whether IPO or acquisition) would be higher.

Suspend date: Sat 7th Aug 2010 11:59pm PST (36 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (59)

8 hours ago
jbbdude predicted No (H$50 at 44%)
2 weeks ago
llawliet predicted No (H$100 at 43%)
2 weeks ago
parikshit_patel predicted Yes (H$515 at 56%)
6 weeks ago
tim14 predicted No (H$50 at 44%)
22 weeks ago
chamaeleon predicted No (H$100 at 45%)

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