Created Thu 7th Aug 2:04am PDT by 
superhans
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » superhans 
Will the British Isles experience a magnitude 4+ earthquake by the end of 2008?
Current forecast: 11% chance 
7%
7%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 11% likely to happen (down 7% in last 1 day)
Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more are said to hit the mainland UK roughly once every 2 years. But in April 2007, a tremor measuring 4.3 on the Richter scale was felt in Kent, while in February this year, a 5.3-magnitude quake rocked Lincolnshire and was felt across much of the country. Is Britain set for another Big One this year?
Settlement details:
Confirmation of the quake and its magnitude by the British Geological Survey.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$12,004
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
Created Thu 7th Aug 2:04am PDT by superhans
superhans
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (18)
18 predictions
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