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Will the Swat team who shot the Mayor's dogs in Prince George MD be reprimanded?

Current forecast: 48% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 48% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
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Yes
48%
No
52%
Activity: H$3,384
Question suspends in 18 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 12:25pm PDT by coolkraft
Clarified Thu 7th Aug 7:30pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: The markets asking if members of the SWAT Team will be reprimanded. So reading some story in the papers that reprimands the officers wouldn't count.
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 7:31pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: I'm suspending the market so I can clarify if a the entire team must be reprimanded or only some, or one member of the team.
Clarified Thu 7th Aug 8:14pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Market refers to all the officers in the SWAT Team
Unsuspended Thu 7th Aug 8:15pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Coolkraft has stated that the market refers to all markets
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

1 week ago
queviltai predicted No (H$40 at 52%)
1 week ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)
1 week ago
codfight predicted No (H$20 at 51%)
1 week ago
lizzielizzie predicted Yes (H$50 at 49%)
1 week ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$250 at 49%)
more

Comments

  2 coolkraft
seems there are other issues with swat teams

http://wcco.com/iteam/swat.team.honored.2.783216.html
posted 2 weeks ago
Clarification Please - Will this settle as YES if anyone reprimands him? Does Paris Hilton or a MD newspaper count?
posted 1 week ago
  5 destry[Admin]
@fof - asking these questions in the comment field is not best way to get it clarified. Please click flag for review so the category editor gets an email and can respond to the market and you directly.
posted 1 week ago
@ fingers of fury -- yeah ... the way I read this was, "will anyone reprimand the swat team itself"... not the mayor or the Sheriff, or commanding officer, etc. Maybe the category editor, or question creator will clarify it further.
posted 1 week ago
  7 coolkraft
FYI: Newswrangler is correct....it is the swat TEAM....
posted 1 week ago
@destry- thanks
posted 1 week ago
  10 ryanj[Admin]
Hi,

The markets asking if members of the SWAT Team will be reprimanded. So reading some story in the papers that reprimands the officers wouldn't count. That said, I'm suspending the market so I can clarify if a the entire team must be reprimanded or only some, or one member of the team.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 1 week ago
  11 dieseldog
@ryan..i been noticing when an admin suspends a question it shows the reason why twice. i'm guessing you don't do that on purpose. might be a bug in the system. have a nice day.
posted 1 week ago
  13 ryanj[Admin]
Hi dieseldog,

In this particular case there's actually two reasons because I first clarified the market, and then suspended so I could await coolkraft's clarification. But the reason why often you'll see two reasons on markets where superusers have played a role is because, they first flag the market so an Admin can look at it and then suspend the market so while we wait for a admin clarification no one predicts on the market. The same reason is given due to the fact that both the flag and the suspend are happening for the same reason.

Hope this clears it up,
Ryan

Hubdub Category Editor
posted 1 week ago
This market has been reopened.

The category editor said, "Market refers to all the officers in the SWAT Team
"Coolkraft has stated that the market refers to all markets"


I don't know what the last sentence means ... maybe it was mis-written...
posted 1 week ago

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