
What sentence will bin Laden's driver get?
outcome known before market creation
Hamdan got 5 and a half years
Background:>
Salim Hamdan pleaded with a military jury to spare him from a life in prison, apologizing Thursday for the "innocent people" who died in the Sept. 11 attacks and saying he worked as Osama bin Laden's driver only because he needed a job.
Prosecutors asked for a sentence of no less than 30 years, asking the six Pentagon-appointed jurors to make an example of him."
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hlkUMaokG6I7flYKGhlBfsW9qP9wD92DJCMO2
(Not to think about those who made him breakfast)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This is EVENT based. The question settles as the sentence decision is announced.
Voided
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Less than 30 years |
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30 years |
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More than 30 years |
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Any other kind of sentence |
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No sentence at all |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Less than 30 years: 22%, 30 years: 45%, More than 30 years: 22%, Any other kind of sentence: 10%, No sentence at all: 1%
Action history:
I needed too long to come up with the market.
outcome known before market creation: void.
Hamdan got 5 and a half years
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (6)
6 predictions
Comments (5)
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That said, I am impressed they acquitted him of conspiracy. While his presence at meetings of conspirators places him in a position to be potentially guilty, it would be like sentencing Hitler's maid for the holocaust.
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