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What sentence will bin Laden's driver get?

Voided

outcome known before market creation

Hamdan got 5 and a half years

Background:

"US seeks at least 30 years for bin Laden driver

Salim Hamdan pleaded with a military jury to spare him from a life in prison, apologizing Thursday for the "innocent people" who died in the Sept. 11 attacks and saying he worked as Osama bin Laden's driver only because he needed a job.

Prosecutors asked for a sentence of no less than 30 years, asking the six Pentagon-appointed jurors to make an example of him."

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hlkUMaokG6I7flYKGhlBfsW9qP9wD92DJCMO2

(Not to think about those who made him breakfast)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. This is EVENT based. The question settles as the sentence decision is announced.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Less than 30 years
22%
30 years
45%
More than 30 years
22%
Any other kind of sentence
10%
No sentence at all
1%
Voided Thu 7th Aug 3:15pm PDT

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Less than 30 years: 22%, 30 years: 45%, More than 30 years: 22%, Any other kind of sentence: 10%, No sentence at all: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 1:21pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Thu 7th Aug 1:49pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]: Flagged by supser user: thanks sdchargers.
I needed too long to come up with the market.
outcome known before market creation: void.
Settlement requested Thu 7th Aug 1:52pm PDT by jake: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7547261.stm
Voided Thu 7th Aug 3:15pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: outcome known before market creation

Hamdan got 5 and a half years

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (6)

6 predictions

16 weeks ago
kida predicted Less than 30 years (H$100 at 34%)
16 weeks ago
thebenzo predicted Less than 30 years (H$20 at 33%)
16 weeks ago
youbet predicted 30 years (H$100 at 35%)
16 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No sentence at all (H$100 at 2%)
16 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Any other kind of sentence (H$250 at 10%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 intlibber
The cited article is obviously biased, claiming he was not tried by a jury when the rest of the article clearly stated that he was in fact tried by a jury. What is more, he has it better than in civilian court wrt sentencing, as the jury is empowered to sentence him, not the judge. As for Miranda warnings, those were thrown out by the US Supreme Court over a decade ago, they are only used today because state laws require them for arrests in the states.

That said, I am impressed they acquitted him of conspiracy. While his presence at meetings of conspirators places him in a position to be potentially guilty, it would be like sentencing Hitler's maid for the holocaust.
posted 16 weeks ago
seems like it was all pretty fair to me. I'm under no dillusions that anyone driving around osama bin laden was really ignorant of what bin laden was up to...
posted 16 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
he otta be glad he got the milatary trial. if he was tried in the usa court system they jury woulda hung him. imhp
posted 16 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
*imho
posted 16 weeks ago
Yeah, we have a bunch of commetators and politicians today that try to figure out how the US constitution does not apply to U.S. Citizens, (for example the 2nd amendment), and at the same time try to make it apply to non-citizen <ul>terrorists</ul>. They begging us to ask them the question "how would you act differently if you hated America?"
posted 16 weeks ago

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