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Created Thu 7th Aug 10:12pm PDT by greg77
All questions » World » Asia » 

Which party will win the Western Australian state election scheduled for 6 September 2008?

Settled as Liberal Party win

"Nationals leader Brendon Grylls announced he would form a coalition with the Liberals after the Nationals State Council meeting this morning."
http://www.watoday.com.au/wa-news/wa-election-decided-liberals-to-form-alliance-with-nationals-20080914-4g3j.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aKRZA6GMdWio&refer=australia

Background:

Western Australia goes to the polls on 6 September 2008. Will the conservative Liberal Party put recent leadership troubles behind them and rally for a come-from-behind win? Or will the incumbent Australian Labor Party hang on for a third consecutive term?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/08/08/2328240.htm
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Labor Party win
91%
Liberal Party win
8%
Any other result
0%
Activity: H$8,851
Settled as Liberal Party win on Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: The winning party will be the party from which the Premier is appointed. As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Labor Party win: 79%, Liberal Party win: 20%, Any other result: 1%

Action history:

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: The winning party will be the party from which the Premier is appointed. As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

5 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$288 at 91%)
5 weeks ago
fdeblauwe predicted Labor Party win (H$20 at 91%)
5 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 91%)
5 weeks ago
bency predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 90%)
5 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 90%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 greg77
Umm... sorry... that would be 6 September 2008
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 infernalmachine[Admin]
Date fixed from 2007 to 2008
posted 8 weeks ago
  3 oppugner
If the Labor party forms a minority government does that count as "any other result"?
posted 8 weeks ago
  4 greg77
If the premier is appointed from Labor, it is a Labor win.
posted 7 weeks ago
  5 infernalmachine[Admin]
Just so you know, I'm not slow in settling this -- it's still not decided: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=arqoAo6kCq7A&refer=asia
posted 4 weeks ago
  6 jamest
No worries but could you just void it as I have put about 10% of my credit on Labour and I would like it back.

James
posted 4 weeks ago
  7 infernalmachine[Admin]
Looks like we'll hear on Sunday, maybe. http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=77&ContentID=97176
posted 4 weeks ago
  8 curios
i think what ever it still might be decided with some of the margins being so small there may be recounts
posted 4 weeks ago
  9 curios
opps might NOT be
posted 4 weeks ago

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