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Created Thu 7th Aug 10:12pm PDT by greg77
All questions » World » Asia » 

Which party will win the Western Australian state election scheduled for 6 September 2008?

Settled as Liberal Party win

"Nationals leader Brendon Grylls announced he would form a coalition with the Liberals after the Nationals State Council meeting this morning."
http://www.watoday.com.au/wa-news/wa-election-decided-liberals-to-form-alliance-with-nationals-20080914-4g3j.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aKRZA6GMdWio&refer=australia

Background:

Western Australia goes to the polls on 6 September 2008. Will the conservative Liberal Party put recent leadership troubles behind them and rally for a come-from-behind win? Or will the incumbent Australian Labor Party hang on for a third consecutive term?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/08/08/2328240.htm


Settlement details: The winning party will be the party from which the Premier is appointed. As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Labor Party win
91%
Liberal Party win
8%
Any other result
0%
Activity: H$8,851
Settled as Liberal Party win on Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDT

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Labor Party win: 79%, Liberal Party win: 20%, Any other result: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 7th Aug 10:12pm PDT by greg77
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Liberal Party win' Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: "Nationals leader Brendon Grylls announced he would form a coalition with the Liberals after the Nationals State Council meeting this morning."
http://www.watoday.com.au/wa-news/wa-election-decided-liberals-to-form-alliance-with-nationals-20080914-4g3j.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aKRZA6GMdWio&refer=australia

Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 13th Sep 10:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

12 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$288 at 91%)
12 weeks ago
fdeblauwe predicted Labor Party win (H$20 at 91%)
12 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 91%)
12 weeks ago
bency predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 90%)
12 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted Labor Party win (H$100 at 90%)
more

Comments (9)

  1 greg77
Umm... sorry... that would be 6 September 2008
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 infernalmachine[Admin]
Date fixed from 2007 to 2008
posted 16 weeks ago
  3 oppugner
If the Labor party forms a minority government does that count as "any other result"?
posted 16 weeks ago
  4 greg77
If the premier is appointed from Labor, it is a Labor win.
posted 15 weeks ago
  5 infernalmachine[Admin]
Just so you know, I'm not slow in settling this -- it's still not decided: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=arqoAo6kCq7A&refer=asia
posted 12 weeks ago
  6 jamest
No worries but could you just void it as I have put about 10% of my credit on Labour and I would like it back.

James
posted 12 weeks ago
  7 infernalmachine[Admin]
Looks like we'll hear on Sunday, maybe. http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=77&ContentID=97176
posted 11 weeks ago
  8 curios
i think what ever it still might be decided with some of the margins being so small there may be recounts
posted 11 weeks ago
  9 curios
opps might NOT be
posted 11 weeks ago

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