Created Fri 8th Aug 10:34am PDT by
infernalmachine
All questions » World » Europe » 
Will Russian Forces be on the ground in Georgia's capital Tblisi before Sept 9, 2008?
Current forecast: 19% chance
2%
2%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 19% likely to happen (up 2% in last 1 day)
Despite the "so-called ceasefire" Russian and Georgian troops are still clashing in Georgia. Gori the largest city near the South Ossetia border has been sacked by the Russians and to some it seems Tblisi
is the main objective. An AP reporter working on the road to Gori reportedly had a Russian soldier say to her "Come with us, beauty, we're going to Tbilisi!"
The Russians have said they're objective is not regime change, but with Soviet era armor heading towards Tblisi it doesn't appear this conflict is going to reach a peaceful conclusion. The US gov't has authorized US military personal to provide humanitarian assistance to Geogria and "boots are on the ground." The situation which at first looked under control is now unraveling quicker and quicker.
The major point that this conflict will bring home to many of America's Ex-Soviet bloc allies is that American support and protection is no longer guaranteed in a world where America's armed forces are overstretched. A Russian siege of Tblisi would be a bloody encounter, and not much could be done about it. Here's to hoping we weren't back in the Cold War!
Related Articles:
U.S. warns Russia and sends Georgia aid
The Russo-Georgian War and the Balance of Power
U.S. to take control of Georgian ports
This question asks whether the current conflict could lead to there being actual Russian troops occupying or fighting on the ground (bombing runs don't count) within the city limits of Georgia's capital city, Tblisi. Must occur before Sept 9 local Tblisi time.
is the main objective. An AP reporter working on the road to Gori reportedly had a Russian soldier say to her "Come with us, beauty, we're going to Tbilisi!"
The Russians have said they're objective is not regime change, but with Soviet era armor heading towards Tblisi it doesn't appear this conflict is going to reach a peaceful conclusion. The US gov't has authorized US military personal to provide humanitarian assistance to Geogria and "boots are on the ground." The situation which at first looked under control is now unraveling quicker and quicker.
The major point that this conflict will bring home to many of America's Ex-Soviet bloc allies is that American support and protection is no longer guaranteed in a world where America's armed forces are overstretched. A Russian siege of Tblisi would be a bloody encounter, and not much could be done about it. Here's to hoping we weren't back in the Cold War!
Related Articles:
U.S. warns Russia and sends Georgia aid
The Russo-Georgian War and the Balance of Power
U.S. to take control of Georgian ports
This question asks whether the current conflict could lead to there being actual Russian troops occupying or fighting on the ground (bombing runs don't count) within the city limits of Georgia's capital city, Tblisi. Must occur before Sept 9 local Tblisi time.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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No |
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Activity: H$381,812
Question suspends in 1 week
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Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Sat 6th Sep 5:59pm PDT (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Fri 8th Aug 10:34am PDT by
infernalmachine
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Predictions (317)
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Comments (14)
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Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
score: 10
Town Hall 1 week ago
TBLISI, Georgia (BP)--A Southern Baptist overseas team has engaged the relief crisis in the Black Sea country of Georgia, where an estimated 50,000 people, driven from their homes by fighting, have
score: 10
Macro World Investor 1 week ago
DATELINE: Tblisi, Georgia British Foreign Secretary David Miliband has warned Russia that its military operations in the former Soviet republic of Georgia undermine its relations with the West. Miliband made the comments
score: 10
Yahoo! News Australia 1 week ago
Russia, US ramp up war of words ahead of NATO talks on Georgia August 19, 2008, 7:46 am Russia announces start of force pullback from Georgia August 19, 2008, 6:54 am
score: 10
Straits Times 1 week ago
TBILISI (GEOGRIA) - RUSSIAN troops and tanks were still deployed in several areas of Georgia on Tuesday, apparently defying pressure from the West to withdraw quickly. Armed Georgian policemen and Russian soldiers guarded separate checkpoints only a few
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Soldiers waved at journalists and one soldier shouted to a photographer takning shots of the convoy: "Come with us, beauty, we're going to Tbilisi." Gori is about a 90-minute drive from the Georgian capital.>>
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080813/ap_on_re_eu/georgia_russia
Regards,
Ryan
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/08/16/georgia.russia.war/index.html
Should we wait another one, new war, to settle this?
infernal provided a date.
I think we wait for either the author's date, or earlier, if the event the question happens.
'Cease fires', signed or not, does NOT indicate that the "issue" is over. If either of the parties break any of the conditions of the cease fire, we are back to a war-like environment.
I think that Russia is waiting for Georgia to make a move. Then, they'll have the international cover they need to enter Tblisi.
jmho of course.
A Russian military convoy advanced to a village 45 km (30 miles) from Tbilisi on Friday
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSLF9676120080815?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=22&sp=true
me too.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4547797.ece
http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=154073
Still uping the anti on Yes.
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