Created Fri 8th Aug 11:32am PDT by 
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Will any receive the $100,000 reward Accountable America is offering?
Current forecast: 12% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Conservatives who support election-year efforts by so-called 527s and other independent groups are about to get a tough new notice: donate at your own risk.
A new liberal group, Accountable America, is offering a $100,000 reward for any information that results in “the conviction or judgment against a conservative or business-related organization” that runs afoul of federal campaign finance regulations – and is planning to send “warning” letters to roughly 10,000 major Republican donors next week laying out the PR headaches and risks they could encounter if they decide to donate outside the legal boundaries.
In a statement sent to reporters, organizers describe the new group as “an effort to deter attempts by Republican donors aimed at ‘swiftboating’ Democrats from Barack Obama to Senate and House candidates.”
Listen: Organizers lay out their plan on a conference call with reporters
The 527 advocacy organizations are independent groups that are not subject to Federal Election Commission regulations because they do not directly call for the election or defeat of candidates.
The campaign will also include a Web presence and possible television ads.
Long-time progressive operative and former MoveOn.org Washington director Tom Matzzie is heading the effort – which is targeting some top McCain donors, like Sheldon Adelson, by name.
A new liberal group, Accountable America, is offering a $100,000 reward for any information that results in “the conviction or judgment against a conservative or business-related organization” that runs afoul of federal campaign finance regulations – and is planning to send “warning” letters to roughly 10,000 major Republican donors next week laying out the PR headaches and risks they could encounter if they decide to donate outside the legal boundaries.
In a statement sent to reporters, organizers describe the new group as “an effort to deter attempts by Republican donors aimed at ‘swiftboating’ Democrats from Barack Obama to Senate and House candidates.”
Listen: Organizers lay out their plan on a conference call with reporters
The 527 advocacy organizations are independent groups that are not subject to Federal Election Commission regulations because they do not directly call for the election or defeat of candidates.
The campaign will also include a Web presence and possible television ads.
Long-time progressive operative and former MoveOn.org Washington director Tom Matzzie is heading the effort – which is targeting some top McCain donors, like Sheldon Adelson, by name.
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Activity: H$633
Question suspends in 20 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. For a YES settlement it will need to be reported that the $100,000 reward was paid. If no news is reported by Inauguration day, then will settle as NO. Since the reward is tied to a conviction we will use best judgment to settle.
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 8am PST (20 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 10%
Action history:
Created Fri 8th Aug 11:32am PDT by destry
destry
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. For a YES settlement it will need to be reported that the $100,000 reward was paid. If no news is reported by Inauguration day, then will settle as NO. Since the reward is tied to a conviction we will use best judgment to settle.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (7)
7 predictions
deelilley
coolkraft
jenniandboys
sdchargers![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$50 at 11%)
newswranglerComments (2)
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Focus on Top McCain Donors Sheldon Adelson, George Argyros, Mel Sembler $100,000 Reward Offered for Information Leading to Convictions of GOP Organizations Who Violate the Law WASHINGTON, Aug. 8 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- An effort to
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NewsMax.com 3 weeks ago
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