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My Predictions

Where will the DJIA close on Monday, August 11, 2008?

Settled as DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00

Settled as between 11700.01 and 11800.00 as the DJIA closed at 11782.35.

Background:

Last week finished strongly, with a 300+ point gain on Friday...we haven't at this level for a number of weeks . . . is 12,000 in our future again?

Market suspends 15 minutes prior to closing.
 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

DJIA will close at or below 11,300.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,300.01 and 11,400.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00
0%
DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00
14%
DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00
83%
DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00
2%
DJIA will close at or above 11,900.01
0%
Activity: H$46,988
Settled as DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00 on Mon 11th Aug 1:39pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 11th Aug 12:45pm PDT

Settlement date: Mon 11th Aug 1:39pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 11th Aug 12:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: DJIA will close at or below 11,300.00: 3%, DJIA will close between 11,300.01 and 11,400.00: 8%, DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00: 10%, DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00: 17%, DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00: 23%, DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00: 13%, DJIA will close at or above 11,900.01: 4%

Action history:

Created Fri 8th Aug 1:54pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Mon 11th Aug 12:45pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00' Mon 11th Aug 1:39pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as between 11700.01 and 11800.00 as the DJIA closed at 11782.35.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (311)

311 predictions

9 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,600.01 and 11,700.00 (H$400 at 11%)
9 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00 (H$1,000 at 91%)
9 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,800.01 and 11,900.00 (H$100 at 1%)
9 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00 (H$1,000 at 89%)
9 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted DJIA will close between 11,700.01 and 11,800.00 (H$3,000 at 83%)
more

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