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Created Fri 8th Aug 4:52pm PDT by vdc5087
All questions » Sport » Other » 

Will Roz Savage in her solo row across the Pacific reach Hawaii before September 1, 2008?

Settled as No

Very close, but she didn't get there until Sept 1st @ 9:00am

0900 Hawaiian time September 1st 2008, Roz has crossed the line that she considers to be her finish line. 21 13.096N, 157 47.570W.

http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/

Background:

Roz Savage will embark on a voyage to become the first woman to row solo across the Pacific Ocean. Position at 2100 7th August Pacific Time, 0400 8th August UTC: 23 16.327'N, 144 37.356'W. Very rough conditions today, with high seas and strong winds making it difficult to steer a straight course for Hawaii.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
7%
No
93%
Activity: H$69,442
Settled as No on Tue 2nd Sep 6:17am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 6:17am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Fri 8th Aug 4:52pm PDT by vdc5087
Suspended Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 8:46am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

Latest updates have her arriving tomorrow. (Amazing feat!)

"August 31st, 2008
Regular Downloads Beginning
It is now just after 5pm Hawaiian time and Roz has just called with her latest position. From now on she will call every two hours. Likely to arrive tomorrow some time in the middle of the day."

<http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/>
Settlement requested Mon 1st Sep 7:16pm PDT by randburg: She docked in Hawaii at 6am on Monday September 1st. So, she did NOT reach Hawaii before September 1st, and this should settle as NO.

http://my.att.net/s/editorial.dll?pnum=1&bfromind=7406&eeid=6070568&_sitecat=1522&dcatid=0&eetype=article&render=y&ac=0&ck=&ch=ne&rg=blsadstrgt&_lid=332&_lnm=tg+ne+topnews&ck=
Settlement requested Tue 2nd Sep 4:24am PDT by keyeshoveden: According to this link
http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/ whe reached the finish line at 09.00 on September 1st. This is not before September 1st so I think it should be settled as no. What do you think?
Settled as 'No' Tue 2nd Sep 6:17am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Very close, but she didn't get there until Sept 1st @ 9:00am

0900 Hawaiian time September 1st 2008, Roz has crossed the line that she considers to be her finish line. 21 13.096N, 157 47.570W.

http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 2nd Sep 6:17am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (96)

96 predictions

13 weeks ago
francilou predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
13 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$7,000 at 91%)
13 weeks ago
vdc5087 predicted No (H$2,900 at 88%)
13 weeks ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 79%)
13 weeks ago
talkinggoat predicted Yes (H$12 at 32%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 fingers_of_fury
Position at 2100 17th August HST, 0700 18th August UTC: 22 38.295'N, 150 02.297'W.

And I have crossed 150 degrees West - woohoooo!!!! Waikiki lies just this side of 158 degrees. I am now into the last 500 nautical miles. Too soon to say that the end is in sight, but it's definitely drawing nearer.
http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 vdc5087
......it's a very hostile, squally night tonight and I'm bouncing around like crazy in my cramped little cabin. Time to get into my bunk before either the laptop or I come to harm!

Position at 2030 on 20th August HST, 0430 21st August UTC: 22 25.020'N, 151 30.273'W.

http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 vdc5087
Position at 1945 24th August HST, 0545 25th August UTC: 22 01.106'N, 153 46.358'W.

Today has been a bit poor on the mileage. The wind is good now, but for most of the day it has been very variable due to squalls. And it was very light last night - normally I would expect to make about 9' of longitude overnight, but last night I only got 4', so that was not a flying start to the day. But the weather varies quite a bit from day to day, so with a bit of luck tomorrow will be an improvement. But we may now be looking at Sept 1 or 2 rather than August 31.

http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/
posted 14 weeks ago
  4 mrperfkt[Admin]
Minor question edit - "by" Sept 1 changed to "before" Sept 1 to be consistent with updated hubdub question guidelines.

http://www.hubdub.com/public/goodquestion

1.3 Tips
posted 14 weeks ago
  5 pitchedoutsideleg
"An underwhelming day on the mileage front today. Same number of rowing hours as usual, but it takes the cooperation of the weather to produce impressive leaps forward. Ar the moment I would say I'm 70% likely to arrive on 1st Sept, 30% likely to arrive later than that. I won't know for sure until I get there!"
http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/
posted 13 weeks ago
  6 vdc5087
Position at 2030 26th August HST, 0730 27th August UTC: 21 53.089'N, 154 43.757'W. An underwhelming day on the mileage front today. Same number of rowing hours as usual, but it takes the cooperation of the weather to produce impressive leaps forward. At the moment I would say I'm 70% likely to arrive on 1st Sept, 30% likely to arrive later than that. I won't know for sure until I get there!

http://www.rozsavage.com/blog/
posted 13 weeks ago
  7 vdc5087
Sorry for the duplicate post did not realize it had already been posted
posted 13 weeks ago

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