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Will China top the gold medal leaderboard in the Beijing Olympics?

Settled as Yes

http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Background:

China is reputedly one of the strongest bets for a gold medal haul. News reports say Chinese athletes have been training very hard for them to top the gold medal leaderboard. Will they succeed? What do you think?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
94%
No
6%
Activity: H$125,831
Settled as Yes on Sun 24th Aug 4:38pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 4:38pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 8th Aug 10:29pm PDT by patmangubat
Unsuspended Sat 9th Aug 5:40am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: While similar, question is different enough to remain open, for this brand new user.
Clarified Mon 11th Aug 4:09am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: This would be considered a duplicate however it has been caught too late to be voided. It will suspend 3 full days prior to the end of the games
Suspended Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 24th Aug 4:38pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/GL/95A/GL0000000.shtml

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 4:38pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 22nd Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (151)

151 predictions

14 weeks ago
pshk predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 94%)
14 weeks ago
eckertkid predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 93%)
14 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted No (H$1,000 at 4%)
14 weeks ago
oafarivar predicted No (H$18 at 3%)
14 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$100 at 3%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 kri531
Very difficult to predict. For latest olympic medal count visit

http://beijingolympics-latestmedaltally.blogspot.com/
posted 16 weeks ago
America has the most medals which is always good news.
posted 16 weeks ago
The Olympics aren't determined by Medals, they're determined by points (3 for Gold, 2 for Silver, 1 for Bronze).
posted 15 weeks ago
  4 markc
The Olympics aren't "determined" by anything.
posted 14 weeks ago

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