Created Sat 9th Aug 9:43am PDT by 
epr118
All questions » Business » Deals » epr118 
Which of the "Big 3" US automakers will declare Chapter 11 bankruptcy first?
Current forecast: Chrysler (38% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Chrysler with a probability of 38% (unchanged in last 1 day)
With the auto market in a slump, and Ford, GMC, and Chrysler giving away market share like it is going out of style, it is inevitable that one (or more) will declare Chapter 11. Which one will do it first?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Ford Motor Company |
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General Motors |
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Chrysler |
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None of the three file before the end of 2010 |
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Activity: H$4,114
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 7:59am PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Ford Motor Company: 25%, General Motors: 30%, Chrysler: 35%, None of the three file before the end of 2010: 10%
Action history:
Created Sat 9th Aug 9:43am PDT by epr118
epr118
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 7:59am PST (2 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (28)
28 predictions
nikolausi
chrisfmasse
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted General Motors (H$100 at 43%)
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted General Motors (H$1,000 at 37%)Comments (1)
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score: 10
Forbes.com 22 hours ago
over a decade, U.S. auto sales have been running from 16.5 million to over 17 million cars and light trucks per year. Last year they fell to 16.2 million. This year--thanks to the collapse in the second half of the year--full-year sales could fall to 13
score: 10
Canada.com 1 day ago
is whether there should be a Wall Street bailout or airline industry-like bankruptcies. The pro-bankuptcy crowd notes that Chapter 11 would allow the automakers to slash their costs - tearing up union contracts, reducing unneeded dealers and eliminating
score: 10
CNBC 2 days ago
AVON, Indiana - No customer voices competed with the sweet harmonies flowing from the showroom speakers at Danville Chrysler Dodge Jeep. A competitor's blue-cross emblem beckoned through the windows from the dealership across the street. But Dugan
score: 10
score: 10
Forbes.com 5 days ago
over a decade, U.S. auto sales have been running from 16.5 million to over 17 million cars and light trucks per year. Last year they fell to 16.2 million. This year--thanks to the collapse in the second half of the year--full-year sales could fall to 13
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