Who will win gold in the men's 5000m track race?

Suspend date: Sat 23rd Aug 5:10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 6:47am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 5:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: BEKELE, Kenenisa (ETH) : 20%, BEKELE, Tariku (ETH) : 12%, LAGAT, Bernard (USA) : 11%, KIPCHOGE, Eliud (KEN) : 9%, SOI, Edwin Cheruiyot (KEN) : 8%, KIPSIRO, Moses (UGA) : 7%, MOTTRAM, Craig (AUS) : 7%, RAMZI, Rashid (BRN) : 7%, CHERKOS, Abraham (ETH) : 4%, Others: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 10th Aug 12:56am PDT by pitchedoutsideleg

Suspended Sat 23rd Aug 5:10am PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 23rd Aug 6:14am PDT by steez: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73G/ATM050101.shtml#ATM050101 bekele wins

Settled as 'BEKELE, Kenenisa (ETH) ' Sat 23rd Aug 6:47am PDT by mrperfkt: http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73G/ATM050101.shtml#ATM050101

Suspend date: Sat 23rd Aug 5:10am PDT Settlement date: Sat 23rd Aug 6:47am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 23rd Aug 5:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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