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Created Mon 11th Aug 7:28pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Settled as Obama leads by 3,4, or 5 points

Obama +3
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109639/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx

Background:

The VP choices have to be imminent... This week? Next? Somethings got to change soon, right?

Note: Gallup polls are the result of a 3 day rolling average so the poll released on Monday will be based on surveys taken Friday, Saturday and Sunday.


Settlement details: http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx

posted near 1300 on Monday August 18.
If no poll is posted that day for some reason, will be the next released gallup daily poll.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Obama leads by 9 points or more
0%
Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points
3%
Obama leads by 3,4, or 5 points
34%
Statistical Tie +/- 2 points
60%
McCain leads by 3,4, or 5 points
3%
McCain leads by 6,7, or 8 points
0%
McCain leads by 9 points or more
1%
Activity: H$39,838
Settled as Obama leads by 3,4, or 5 points on Mon 18th Aug 12:59pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 18th Aug 9:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 12:59pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Aug 9:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama leads by 9 points or more: 5%, Obama leads by 6,7 or 8 points: 30%, Obama leads by 3,4, or 5 points: 40%, Statistical Tie +/- 2 points: 20%, McCain leads by 3,4, or 5 points: 3%, McCain leads by 6,7, or 8 points: 1%, McCain leads by 9 points or more: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 11th Aug 7:28pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Mon 18th Aug 9:30am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 18th Aug 10:52am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Obama +3
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109639/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx
(Darn it)
Settlement requested Mon 18th Aug 12:12pm PDT by zane: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109639/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx
Settled as 'Obama leads by 3,4, or 5 points' Mon 18th Aug 12:59pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Obama +3
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109639/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx

Suspend date: Mon 18th Aug 9:30am PDT Settlement date: Mon 18th Aug 12:59pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 18th Aug 9:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (217)

217 predictions

15 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$100 at 59%)
15 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$100 at 58%)
15 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$100 at 58%)
15 weeks ago
davidr predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$40 at 57%)
15 weeks ago
steez predicted Statistical Tie +/- 2 points (H$100 at 54%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 dieseldog
its tied again today, just as it was last week. if ombama is ahead again monday by 3-6 points gallup is goona make me say..hmmm :)
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 dieseldog
*obama gonna
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 zane
its done, obama's up by 3 points
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109639/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx
posted 15 weeks ago
  4 ryanj[Admin]
To all you doubters (Newswrangler) out there, I just made a killing!!!!!!!

Ryan
posted 15 weeks ago
  5 dieseldog
hmmmmmmmmmm..told ya i was gonna say it :O)
posted 15 weeks ago
  6 Erik
diesel> makes ya really put alot of stock in Gallup, huh?
posted 15 weeks ago
  7 dieseldog
@erik..it was tied again around 6pm EST. makes wanna put my foot up gallop's rear-end. either they poll drunk people or the pollster's are drunk :)
posted 15 weeks ago

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